The Minnesota Twins (-145) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (+120) on Friday, September 30, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Detroit.
The Twins are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).
The Twins vs Tigers Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Twins are 76-80 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 74-81 ATS.
Twins vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Twins vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Friday‘s matchup with 58.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Twins and Tigers and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Trevor Larnach has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 23 away games (+14.30 Units / 31% ROI)
- Carlos Correa has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 21 games (+13.20 Units / 28% ROI)
- Jose Miranda has hit the Runs Under in 33 of his last 46 games (+13.20 Units / 18% ROI)
- Alex Kirilloff has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 30 games (+11.30 Units / 21% ROI)
- Jose Miranda has hit the RBIs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 46% ROI)
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Miguel Cabrera has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+9.95 Units / 33% ROI)
- Javier Baez has hit the Singles Over in 25 of his last 38 games (+9.70 Units / 21% ROI)
- Tucker Barnhart has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 12 games at home (+9.25 Units / 44% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 27 games (+9.25 Units / 27% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+9.10 Units / 28% ROI)
Tigers vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Akil Baddoo | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
Harold Castro | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -10000 |
Javier Baez | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
Miguel Cabrera | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
Riley Greene | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
Tigers vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Akil Baddoo | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +115 |
Harold Castro | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
Javier Baez | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +125 |
Miguel Cabrera | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +130 |
Riley Greene | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +125 |
Tigers vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Akil Baddoo | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
Harold Castro | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
Javier Baez | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
Miguel Cabrera | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -400 |
Riley Greene | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
Tigers vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Tyler Alexander | 3.5 +125 | 3.5 -175 |
Joe Ryan | 5.5 -160 | 5.5 +115 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Twins Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 24 away games (+9.80 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 36 of their last 67 away games (+8.30 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.20 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 11 of their last 21 away games (+2.40 Units / 10% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Tigers: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 38 games (+4.80 Units / 11% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 72-84 against the Run Line (-16.7 Units / -8.71% ROI).
- 76-80 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.6 Units / -7.12% ROI
- 72-73 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.6 Units / -4.43% ROI
- 73-72 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.45 Units / -3.74% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 74-81 against the Run Line (-18.15 Units / -9.28% ROI).
- 63-92 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.65 Units / -4.69% ROI
- 60-83 when betting on the total runs Over for -30.8 Units / -17.96% ROI
- 83-60 when betting on the total runs Under for +18.05 Units / 10.6% ROI
Joseph Ryan: Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 29% (110/381) against Joe Ryan this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 77 total IP; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 30% (45/151) against Joe Ryan in two-strike counts this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 77 total IP; League Avg: 45% — first Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 28% (65/236) against Joe Ryan since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 158 total IP; League Avg: 44% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 29% (129/446) against Joe Ryan since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 158 total IP; League Avg: 44% — first Percentile.
Tyler Alexander: Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 16% (85/530) against Tyler Alexander this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 77 total IP; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.
Hitters batting in the top of the order have hit .369 against Tyler Alexander this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 77 total IP; League Avg: .256 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .365 (27-for-74) against Tyler Alexander with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 77 total IP; League Avg: .247 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 14% (24/170) against Tyler Alexander with runners in scoring position this season — tied for lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 77 total IP; League Avg: 25% — second Percentile.