The Minnesota Twins (-140) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (+115) on Saturday, October 1, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 6:10pm EDT in Detroit.
The Twins are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).
The Twins vs Tigers Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Twins are 77-80 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 74-82 ATS.
Twins vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Twins vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Saturday‘s matchup with 55.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Twins and Tigers and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Carlos Correa has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+14.50 Units / 27% ROI)
- Trevor Larnach has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 23 away games (+14.30 Units / 31% ROI)
- Jose Miranda has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 24 away games (+13.70 Units / 33% ROI)
- Alex Kirilloff has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 30 games (+11.30 Units / 21% ROI)
- Carlos Correa has hit the Singles Over in 41 of his last 67 games (+10.85 Units / 13% ROI)
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Riley Greene has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 33 games (+10.85 Units / 16% ROI)
- Miguel Cabrera has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+9.80 Units / 65% ROI)
- Javier Baez has hit the Singles Over in 27 of his last 42 games (+9.40 Units / 19% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 31 games (+9.05 Units / 23% ROI)
- Austin Meadows has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 58% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Twins Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 86 of their last 155 games (+11.20 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 25 away games (+8.80 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 36 of their last 68 away games (+8.30 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.20 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 19 of their last 35 games (+5.15 Units / 13% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Tigers: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 82 of their last 153 games (+19.20 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+9.40 Units / 87% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 54 of their last 102 games (+8.80 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 39 games (+5.05 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 56 games (+4.25 Units / 7% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 73-84 against the Run Line (-15.55 Units / -8.07% ROI).
- 77-80 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.6 Units / -6.58% ROI
- 72-73 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.6 Units / -4.4% ROI
- 73-72 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.45 Units / -3.72% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 74-82 against the Run Line (-19.5 Units / -9.9% ROI).
- 63-93 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.65 Units / -5.27% ROI
- 60-83 when betting on the total runs Over for -30.8 Units / -17.84% ROI
- 83-60 when betting on the total runs Under for +18.05 Units / 10.53% ROI
Dylan Bundy: Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dylan Bundy has averaged 79.4 MPH on sliders since the start of last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 158 total IP; League Avg: 85.2 — sixth Percentile.
Dylan Bundy has averaged 89.1 MPH on fastballs this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 77 total IP; League Avg: 93.4 — third Percentile.
Dylan Bundy has a strike rate of 71% (714/1,000) in two strike counts since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 159 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 99th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 30% (73/241) against Dylan Bundy this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
Andrew Hutchison: Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Drew Hutchison has allowed at least one HR in each of his last six games dating back to August 28th — Gerrit Cole has the longest active streak at 7.
Drew Hutchison has walked 7 of 37 batters (19%) in late innings this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: 6% — first Percentile.
Drew Hutchison has a strikeout rate of just 14% (63 SO in 443 PAs) this season — 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: 22% — fourth Percentile.
Drew Hutchison has a strikeout rate of just 5% (5 SO in 95 PAs) in PAs ending on inside fastballs this season — tied for 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: 14% — sixth Percentile.