The Minnesota Twins (-110) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (-110) on Saturday, July 27, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:10pm EDT in Detroit, MI.
This season, the Twins are 57-45 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 54-51 ATS.
Twins vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Twins starting pitcher: Joe Ryan 6-6, 3.65 ERA
- Tigers starting pitcher: Tarik Skubal 11-3, 2.34 ERA
Twins vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Twins vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 53.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Christian Vazquez has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 22 games (+21.00 Units / 95% ROI)
- Edouard Julien has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 16 games (+12.95 Units / 43% ROI)
- Max Kepler has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+11.40 Units / 27% ROI)
- Edouard Julien has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 27 games (+10.75 Units / 35% ROI)
- Trevor Larnach has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+10.45 Units / 30% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Matt Vierling has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 22 games at home (+26.00 Units / 118% ROI)
- Gio Urshela has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 23 games (+10.95 Units / 44% ROI)
- Tarik Skubal has hit the Pitching Outs Over in his last 7 games at home (+7.90 Units / 72% ROI)
- Colt Keith has hit the Total Bases Under in 27 of his last 41 games (+7.70 Units / 12% ROI)
- Matt Vierling has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+7.55 Units / 45% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 36 games (+11.05 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 26 games (+8.60 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 50 of their last 82 games (+8.15 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 7 games (+0.75 Units / 10% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 18 games (+15.10 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 51 of their last 88 games (+13.30 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 23 games (+10.15 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games (+7.60 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 23 games (+6.45 Units / 22% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 49-53 against the Run Line (-5.1 Units / -3.96% ROI).
- 57-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.8 Units / -0.56% ROI
- 52-46 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.65 Units / 1.49% ROI
- 46-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.5 Units / -10.31% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 54-51 against the Run Line (-2.05 Units / -1.43% ROI).
- 51-54 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.55 Units / -4.61% ROI
- 56-42 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.4 Units / 8.37% ROI
- 42-56 when betting on the total runs Under for -19.8 Units / -17.64% ROI
Tigers vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Matt Vierling (DET) | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Ryan Jeffers (MIN) | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Jake Rogers (DET) | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -1600 |
Tigers vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gio Urshela (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Colt Keith (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Manuel Margot (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Matt Vierling (DET) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Tigers vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Vierling (DET) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -250 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Gio Urshela (DET) | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Colt Keith (DET) | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Ryan Jeffers (MIN) | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
Tigers vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joe Ryan (MIN) | 6.5 +120 | 6.5 -155 |
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Joe Ryan has allowed a slugging percentage of .488 (204 Total Bases / 418 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — tied for highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .389 — sixth Percentile.
Joe Ryan has walked 9 of 233 left-handed batters (4%) this season — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 33% (46/140) against Joe Ryan in two-strike counts this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — sixth Percentile.
Joe Ryan has walked 7 of 180 batters (4%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 93rd Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 21% (23/108) against Tarik Skubal when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 39% — 100th Percentile.
Tarik Skubal has walked 1 of 88 batters (1%) with runners in scoring position this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.
Tarik Skubal has allowed an OBP of just .211 (180 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .284 — 100th Percentile.
Tarik Skubal has allowed an OBP of just .166 (475 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 105 total IP; League Avg: .245 — 100th Percentile.