The Minnesota Twins (+115) visit Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-135) on Friday, September 6, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.
This season, the Twins are 76-64 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 77-64 ATS.
Twins vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Twins starting pitcher: Zebby Matthews 1-2, 7.42 ERA
- Royals starting pitcher: Cole Ragans 10-9, 3.46 ERA
Twins vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Twins vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Friday‘s MLB game with 53.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Christian Vazquez has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 28 games (+22.50 Units / 80% ROI)
- Jose Miranda has hit the RBIs Under in 25 of his last 28 games (+18.85 Units / 31% ROI)
- Matt Wallner has hit the Total Bases Over in 29 of his last 39 games (+16.35 Units / 33% ROI)
- Matt Wallner has hit the Hits Over in 29 of his last 39 games (+16.30 Units / 32% ROI)
- Jose Miranda has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 28 games (+14.50 Units / 29% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Home Runs Over in 15 of his last 50 games (+20.45 Units / 41% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Runs Under in 27 of his last 36 games (+13.25 Units / 25% ROI)
- Kyle Isbel has hit the Hits Under in 24 of his last 42 games (+11.70 Units / 28% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the RBIs Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+10.70 Units / 39% ROI)
- Kyle Isbel has hit the Total Bases Under in 24 of his last 42 games (+10.45 Units / 24% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 43 of their last 74 games (+12.45 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 15 away games (+8.35 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 69 of their last 120 games (+4.90 Units / 3% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 20 away games (+2.10 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 34 away games (+1.95 Units / 4% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 70 games at home (+10.44 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 42 of their last 70 games at home (+8.70 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 37 games (+7.75 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 36 of their last 70 games at home (+7.55 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 51 games at home (+6.70 Units / 11% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 65-75 against the Run Line (-12.75 Units / -7.19% ROI).
- 76-64 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.05 Units / -2.05% ROI
- 71-62 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.05 Units / 2% ROI
- 62-71 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.6 Units / -10.81% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 77-64 against the Run Line (+1.94 Units / 1.02% ROI).
- 76-65 when betting on the Moneyline for +7 Units / 3.94% ROI
- 64-71 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.8 Units / -9.01% ROI
- 71-64 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.05 Units / -0.03% ROI
Royals vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| MJ Melendez (KC) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Michael Massey (KC) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
| Paul DeJong (KC) | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -1100 |
Royals vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tommy Pham (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Freddy Fermin (KC) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Maikel Garcia (KC) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Michael Massey (KC) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Royals vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Michael Massey (KC) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| MJ Melendez (KC) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jose Miranda (MIN) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -250 |
Royals vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zebby Matthews (MIN) | 3.5 -175 | 3.5 +130 |
| Cole Ragans (KC) | 7.5 +120 | 7.5 -160 |
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zebby Matthews has limited playing time.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 33% (436/1,339) against Cole Ragans this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .174 (40-for-230) against Cole Ragans when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — 96th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 34% (391/1,134) against Cole Ragans this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .438 (21 GB hits out of 48 GBs) against Cole Ragans with runners in scoring position since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 120 total IP; League Avg: .243 — 0 Percentile.