The Minnesota Twins (-130) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (+105) on Wednesday, September 21, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Kansas City.

The Twins are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).

The Twins vs Royals Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Twins are 73-73 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 70-74 ATS.

Twins vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Twins vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 58.8% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Twins and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.

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Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Jose Miranda has hit the Runs Under in 31 of his last 41 games (+15.90 Units / 24% ROI)
• Trevor Larnach has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 23 away games (+14.30 Units / 31% ROI)
• Alex Kirilloff has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 30 games (+11.30 Units / 21% ROI)
• Carlos Correa has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 17 games (+11.20 Units / 29% ROI)
• Carlos Correa has hit the Singles Over in 36 of his last 59 games (+9.45 Units / 13% ROI)

Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 30 games at home (+16.60 Units / 30% ROI)
• Salvador Perez has hit the Singles Over in 28 of his last 43 games (+15.55 Units / 35% ROI)
• Salvador Perez has hit the Runs Under in 67 of his last 104 games (+15.15 Units / 10% ROI)
• Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 16 games (+13.20 Units / 43% ROI)
• Brady Singer has hit the Strikeouts Over in 16 of his last 22 games (+10.15 Units / 38% ROI)

Royals vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Royals vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Royals vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today

Royals vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Positive Betting Trends for the Twins Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 36 of their last 65 away games (+10.65 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 15 of their last 26 games (+5.20 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 54 games (+4.50 Units / 7% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games (+1.10 Units / 10% ROI)

Positive Betting Trends for the Royals: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 35 games at home (+12.85 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 38 games at home (+8.95 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 57 games at home (+6.95 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 35 games at home (+6.70 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 38 of their last 72 games at home (+6.50 Units / 8% ROI)

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 67-78 against the Run Line (-15.4 Units / -8.7% ROI).

• 73-73 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.55 Units / -4.44% ROI
• 69-66 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.6 Units / -1.62% ROI
• 66-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.3 Units / -6.37% ROI

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 70-74 against the Run Line (-16.35 Units / -8.68% ROI).

• 59-86 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.55 Units / -9.43% ROI
• 72-68 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.5 Units / -1.57% ROI
• 68-72 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.85 Units / -7.38% ROI

John Ober: Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Bailey Ober has not allowed a HR in any of his last five starts dating back to April 28th — George Kirby has the longest active streak at 12.

Bailey Ober has not allowed a home run in any of the last 23.2 innings he’s appeared — George Kirby has the longest active streak at 65.0.

Daniel A. Lynch: Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Daniel Lynch has allowed an OPS of .867 (235 PA’s) versus the bottom of the order since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 154 total IP; League Avg: .622 — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 33% (43/131) against Daniel Lynch with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 154 total IP; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.

The average home run distance against Daniel Lynch since the start of last season is 413.0 feet — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 152 total IP; League Avg: 399.1

Daniel Lynch has allowed an OBP of .372 (234 PA’s) versus the bottom of the order since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 154 total IP; League Avg: .276 — 0 Percentile.

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

  
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