The Minnesota Twins (-155) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (+130) on Thursday, March 30, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Kansas City.
The Twins are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).
The Twins vs Royals Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Twins are 11-8 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 16-6 ATS.
Twins vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Twins vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Thursday‘s MLB matchup with 63.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Twins and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.
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Royals vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nathan Eaton | 0.5 +1050 | 0.5 |
| Nick Gordon | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Byron Buxton | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -500 |
| Trevor Larnach | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
Royals vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nathan Eaton | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +105 |
| Nick Gordon | 1.5 +175 | 1.5 -250 |
| Byron Buxton | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Trevor Larnach | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Royals vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nathan Eaton | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -450 |
| Nick Gordon | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Byron Buxton | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -185 |
| Trevor Larnach | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -275 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
Royals vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zack Greinke | 3.5 +115 | 3.5 -165 |
| Lopez | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -160 |
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 30 away games (+11.75 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 75 of their last 160 games (+10.50 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 88 of their last 160 games (+9.90 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 38 of their last 73 away games (+6.70 Units / 8% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 40 games at home (+18.50 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 60 of their last 108 games (+15.50 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 40 games at home (+13.45 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 43 games at home (+12.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games at home (+10.50 Units / 45% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 11-10 against the Run Line (-0.05 Units / -0.19% ROI).
- 11-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.45 Units / 13.66% ROI
- 8-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.4 Units / -18.6% ROI
- 11-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.5 Units / 11.04% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 16-6 against the Run Line (+10.9 Units / 37.14% ROI).
- 15-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.7 Units / 38.88% ROI
- 10-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.95 Units / -3.89% ROI
- 10-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.7 Units / -2.91% ROI
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Pablo Lopez has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 9.2 innings pitched — J.P. Feyereisen has the longest active streak at 28.2.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 31% (134/429) against Pablo Lopez vs left-handed batters since the 2021 season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 38% — 96th Percentile.
Pablo Lopez has pitched 9.2 straight innings without allowing an earned run — J.P. Feyereisen has the longest active streak at 24.1.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zack Greinke has not allowed a home run in any of the last 30.2 innings he’s appeared — Jose Quintana has the longest active streak at 67.1.
The last hit on a Zack Greinke curveball was September 20th, 2022. Hitters are 0 for their last 16 in ABs ending on his curveball. — Tyler Glasnow has the longest active streak at 28.
Zack Greinke has not allowed a HR in any of his last five games started dating back to September 7th, 2022 — Jose Quintana has the longest active streak at 12.