The Minnesota Twins (-165) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (+140) on Saturday, April 1, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Kansas City.
The Twins are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+100).
The Twins vs Royals Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
Twins vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Twins vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 62.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Twins and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Gary Sanchez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+5.70 Units / 60% ROI)
- Gilberto Celestino has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- Trevor Larnach has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 56% ROI)
- Max Kepler has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Jorge Polanco has hit the RBIs Over in his last away game (+1.75 Units / 175% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the RBIs Over in his last 3 games at home (+5.70 Units / 190% ROI)
- Maikel Garcia has hit the Singles Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 65% ROI)
- Kyle Isbel has hit the Runs Over in his last game (+2.00 Units / 200% ROI)
- Michael A. Taylor has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Drew Waters has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
Royals vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Nick Gordon | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
Byron Buxton | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
Trevor Larnach | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -2000 |
Franmil Reyes | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2500 |
Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -2500 |
Royals vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Nick Gordon | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Byron Buxton | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
Trevor Larnach | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
Franmil Reyes | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Royals vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Nick Gordon | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -250 |
Byron Buxton | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Trevor Larnach | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
Franmil Reyes | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
Royals vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Lyles | 4.5 -150 | 4.5 +115 |
Sonny Gray | 4.5 -155 | 4.5 +115 |
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 30 away games (+11.75 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 75 of their last 160 games (+10.50 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 88 of their last 160 games (+9.90 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 40 of their last 82 away games (+1.65 Units / 2% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 60 of their last 108 games (+15.50 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 40 games at home (+13.45 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games at home (+10.50 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 24 games at home (+6.35 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 42 of their last 82 games at home (+0.35 Units / 0% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hitters swung at 51% of Sonny Gray’s pitches (259/509) with two-strikes in 2022 — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 0 Percentile.
Sonny Gray has a strike rate of just 52% (408/791) on sliders since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 51% of Sonny Gray’s pitches (590/1,159) with two-strikes since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 0 Percentile.
Sonny Gray has thrown his curveball 41% of the time (760/1,858) vs left-handed batters since the 2021 season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total CB; League Avg: 18% — 97th Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jordan Lyles allowed a slugging percentage of .417 (151 Total Bases / 362 ABs) with two-strikes in 2022 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .240 — second Percentile.
Opponents batted .243 (88-for-362) against Jordan Lyles with two-strikes in 2022 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .156 — second Percentile.
Jordan Lyles had a strike rate of just 60% (540/893) in two strike counts in 2022 — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — second Percentile.