The Minnesota Twins (-125) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (+105) on Monday, April 3, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Miami.

The Twins are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).

The Twins vs Marlins Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

This season, the Twins are 3-0 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 1-3 ATS.

Twins vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Twins vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 58.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Twins and Marlins and up-to-date player injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:

• Trevor Larnach has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 56% ROI)
• Max Kepler has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
• Gilberto Celestino has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 36% ROI)
• Jorge Polanco has hit the RBIs Over in his last away game (+1.75 Units / 175% ROI)
• Matt Wallner has hit the Singles Over in his last game (+1.75 Units / 175% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Avisail Garcia has hit the RBIs Under in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 37% ROI)
• Peyton Burdick has hit the Singles Over in his last 3 games at home (+5.45 Units / 182% ROI)
• Jordan Groshans has hit the Singles Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+4.50 Units / 56% ROI)
• Brian Anderson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 88% ROI)
• Jordan Groshans has hit the Hits Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+2.75 Units / 23% ROI)

Marlins vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Marlins vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Marlins vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today

Marlins vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Twins Best Bets Today:

• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 30 away games (+11.75 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 75 of their last 160 games (+10.50 Units / 5% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 88 of their last 160 games (+9.90 Units / 5% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.00 Units / 41% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 41 of their last 84 away games (+1.50 Units / 2% ROI)

Marlins Best Bets Today:

• The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 62 of their last 95 games (+23.95 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 23 games (+11.50 Units / 40% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 27 games at home (+10.70 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 86 of their last 166 games (+8.10 Units / 4% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 19 games (+2.70 Units / 12% ROI)

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 3-0 against the Run Line (+3.2 Units / 106.67% ROI).

• 3-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +3 Units / 64.52% ROI
• 1-2 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.25 Units / -36.76% ROI
• 2-1 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.95 Units / 29.69% ROI

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Marlins have gone 1-3 against the Run Line (-3.95 Units / -59.4% ROI).

• 1-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.15 Units / -50.59% ROI
• 1-3 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.2 Units / -51.16% ROI
• 3-1 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.9 Units / 42.22% ROI

Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents had a swing rate of just 32% (103/326) against Tyler Mahle on low breaking pitches in 2022 — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 47% — second Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% (135/505) against Tyler Mahle on inside fastballs since the 2021 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents had a swing rate of just 38% (192/507) against Tyler Mahle on sliders in 2022 — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 50% — first Percentile.

Left-handed hitters had a line drive rate of just 16% (26/161) against Tyler Mahle in 2022 — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents had a miss rate of just 14% (34/243) against Johnny Cueto with runners in scoring position in 2022 — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 0 Percentile.

Johnny Cueto has a strikeout rate of just 9% (7 SO in 76 PAs) in late innings since the 2021 season — tied for lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.

Hitters chased 192 of Johnny Cueto’s 513 fastballs out of the zone (chase rate of 37%) in 2022 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.

  
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