The Minnesota Twins (+105) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-130) on Saturday, June 29, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Seattle, WA.
This season, the Twins are 45-37 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 39-45 ATS.
Twins vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:
- Twins starting pitcher: Pablo Lopez 7-6, 5.14 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: Bryce Miller 6-6, 3.92 ERA
Twins vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Twins vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 54.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Carlos Santana has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 25 away games (+21.80 Units / 87% ROI)
- Trevor Larnach has hit the Walks Under in 21 of his last 24 games (+15.00 Units / 27% ROI)
- Max Kepler has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 27 games (+11.65 Units / 41% ROI)
- Willi Castro has hit the Runs Over in 21 of his last 35 games (+11.05 Units / 30% ROI)
- Manuel Margot has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 17 away games (+9.90 Units / 36% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Luke Raley has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 13 games at home (+15.60 Units / 120% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Under in 24 of his last 35 games (+15.00 Units / 23% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Total Bases Under in 34 of his last 50 games (+12.60 Units / 18% ROI)
- Josh Rojas has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 27 games (+11.90 Units / 35% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 26 games (+10.55 Units / 37% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 40 of their last 65 games (+10.95 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 62 games (+7.00 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 23 away games (+6.74 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.50 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.75 Units / 66% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 30 games at home (+15.90 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 39 games at home (+14.60 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 30 games at home (+13.80 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 30 games at home (+10.25 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 30 games at home (+8.30 Units / 23% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 38-44 against the Run Line (-8.95 Units / -8.53% ROI).
- 45-37 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.95 Units / -1.7% ROI
- 39-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.9 Units / -4.37% ROI
- 39-39 when betting on the total runs Under for -4 Units / -4.49% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 39-45 against the Run Line (-9 Units / -8.32% ROI).
- 47-37 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 1.83% ROI
- 33-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.8 Units / -19.66% ROI
- 47-33 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.45 Units / 11.31% ROI
Mariners vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Max Kepler (MIN) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Mitch Garver (SEA) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
Mariners vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Carlos Correa (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Max Kepler (MIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Trevor Larnach (MIN) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Mariners vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Max Kepler (MIN) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Trevor Larnach (MIN) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Mariners vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bailey Ober (MIN) | 6.5 -110 | 6.5 -120 |
| Logan Gilbert (SEA) | 6.5 +100 | 6.5 -135 |
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 36% (210/581) against Pablo Lopez when he’s behind in the count since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 160 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Pablo Lopez has allowed a slugging percentage of .524 (66 Total Bases / 126 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .361 — third Percentile.
Pablo Lopez has walked 3 of 144 batters (2%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 97th Percentile.
Pablo Lopez has a strikeout rate of 29% (126 SO in 431 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 96th Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 15% (16/106) against Bryce Miller this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .161 (9-for-56) against Bryce Miller on low fastballs this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .256 — 94th Percentile.
Bryce Miller has thrown fastballs 70% of the time (434/617) against right-handed batters this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 46% — 100th Percentile.
Bryce Miller has thrown fastballs 81% of the time (240/296) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 49% — 100th Percentile.