The Minnesota Twins (+100) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-120) on Sunday, May 19, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in Cleveland, OH.
This season, the Twins are 24-21 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 27-19 ATS.
Twins vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:
- Twins starting pitcher: Chris Paddack 4-2, 4.89 ERA
- Guardians starting pitcher: Tanner Bibee 2-1, 4.37 ERA
Twins vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Twins vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 51.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Carlos Santana has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 11 away games (+28.70 Units / 261% ROI)
- Alex Kirilloff has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 18 games (+14.75 Units / 58% ROI)
- Alex Kirilloff has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 28 games (+13.35 Units / 40% ROI)
- Alex Kirilloff has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+13.00 Units / 54% ROI)
- Alex Kirilloff has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.00 Units / 34% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 14 games at home (+29.00 Units / 207% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the RBIs Over in 25 of his last 45 games (+15.30 Units / 34% ROI)
- Josh Naylor has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 30 games (+12.65 Units / 25% ROI)
- Will Brennan has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 26 games (+11.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 6 games (+8.00 Units / 133% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 25 games (+6.70 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.69 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 23 games (+6.50 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 28 games (+5.90 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.95 Units / 60% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 46 games (+9.82 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 46 games (+9.45 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 46 games (+5.90 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 32 games (+5.60 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 19 games at home (+5.50 Units / 26% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 23-22 against the Run Line (-0.1 Units / -0.17% ROI).
- 24-21 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.25 Units / -3.79% ROI
- 21-21 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.05 Units / -4.22% ROI
- 21-21 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.1 Units / -4.35% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 27-19 against the Run Line (+9.45 Units / 16.48% ROI).
- 29-17 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.82 Units / 16.37% ROI
- 23-21 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.15 Units / -0.29% ROI
- 21-23 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.15 Units / -8.25% ROI
Guardians vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Max Kepler (MIN) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Trevor Larnach (MIN) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Ryan Jeffers (MIN) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Guardians vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Will Brennan (CLE) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Andres Gimenez (CLE) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Max Kepler (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Carlos Correa (MIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Ryan Jeffers (MIN) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Guardians vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Max Kepler (MIN) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Will Brennan (CLE) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Carlos Correa (MIN) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Guardians vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tanner Bibee (CLE) | 6.5 +135 | 6.5 -175 |
| Chris Paddack (MIN) | 4.5 +135 | 4.5 -175 |
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chris Paddack has allowed a slugging percentage of .611 (33 Total Bases / 54 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .296 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .328 (60-for-183) against Chris Paddack this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — second Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting .352 (32-for-91) against Chris Paddack this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .500 (12-for-24) against Chris Paddack on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .316 — fourth Percentile.
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tanner Bibee has allowed a slugging percentage of .827 (62 Total Bases / 75 ABs) in non-two strike counts this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: .526 — second Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 25% (38/152) against Tanner Bibee with two-strikes this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 39% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .371 (13-for-35) against Tanner Bibee’s elevated fastball this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .205 — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .110 (11-for-100) against Tanner Bibee with two-strikes this season — 2nd best among in MLB; League Avg: .170 — 97th Percentile.