The Minnesota Twins (-105) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-115) on Thursday, June 27, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 3:40pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.
This season, the Twins are 44-36 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 37-43 ATS.
Twins vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:
- Twins starting pitcher: David Festa 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Jordan Montgomery 6-4, 5.78 ERA
Twins vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Twins vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 51.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Carlos Santana has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 25 away games (+21.80 Units / 87% ROI)
- Trevor Larnach has hit the Walks Under in 21 of his last 24 games (+15.00 Units / 27% ROI)
- Max Kepler has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 27 games (+11.65 Units / 41% ROI)
- Willi Castro has hit the Runs Over in 21 of his last 35 games (+11.05 Units / 30% ROI)
- Manuel Margot has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 17 away games (+9.90 Units / 36% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Christian Walker has hit the Walks Under in 32 of his last 37 games (+22.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 39 of his last 50 games (+16.65 Units / 17% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Under in 27 of his last 34 games (+15.15 Units / 24% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 31 games (+13.20 Units / 43% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 34 games (+12.15 Units / 35% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 39 of their last 63 games (+11.05 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 60 games (+7.00 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 21 away games (+6.89 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.60 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 6 away games (+2.30 Units / 32% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 10 games at home (+7.90 Units / 71% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 27 games at home (+7.90 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 32 games (+6.65 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 37 of their last 80 games (+6.00 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.50 Units / 25% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 36-44 against the Run Line (-11.4 Units / -11.18% ROI).
- 44-36 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.95 Units / -1.73% ROI
- 38-38 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.8 Units / -4.37% ROI
- 38-38 when betting on the total runs Under for -4 Units / -4.6% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 37-43 against the Run Line (-11.55 Units / -10.93% ROI).
- 39-41 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.9 Units / -5.92% ROI
- 39-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.15 Units / -4.67% ROI
- 39-39 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.3 Units / -3.78% ROI
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of 35% (77/222) against Jordan Montgomery on elevated fastballs since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 160 total IP; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Jordan Montgomery has had third base stolen on him 5 times this season — 2nd most in MLB — 99th Percentile.
Jordan Montgomery has allowed an OBP of .322 (391 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .293 — 13th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 61% (38/62) against Jordan Montgomery in two-strike counts this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 31 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 96th Percentile.