The Minnesota Twins (-125) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (+105) on Tuesday, June 25, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.

This season, the Twins are 43-35 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 36-42 ATS.

Twins vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:

• Twins starting pitcher: Joe Ryan 5-5, 3.14 ERA
• Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Brandon Pfaadt 3-6, 4.34 ERA

Twins vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Twins vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 54.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:

• Carlos Santana has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 23 away games (+23.80 Units / 103% ROI)
• Willi Castro has hit the Runs Over in 20 of his last 33 games (+11.10 Units / 33% ROI)
• Christian Vazquez has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 27 games (+10.95 Units / 31% ROI)
• Manuel Margot has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 17 away games (+9.90 Units / 36% ROI)
• Carlos Correa has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 20 of his last 28 games (+9.75 Units / 26% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 40 of his last 50 games (+20.20 Units / 21% ROI)
• Christian Walker has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 29 games (+15.20 Units / 52% ROI)
• Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Under in 25 of his last 32 games (+13.15 Units / 23% ROI)
• Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Under in 28 of his last 50 games (+12.30 Units / 24% ROI)
• Eugenio Suarez has hit the Total Bases Under in 30 of his last 50 games (+12.15 Units / 21% ROI)

Twins Best Bets Today:

• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 38 of their last 61 games (+11.05 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 58 games (+7.35 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 19 away games (+7.04 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 39 games (+4.20 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.00 Units / 16% ROI)

Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:

• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 25 games at home (+8.05 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 19 of their last 30 games (+6.65 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 36 of their last 78 games (+5.95 Units / 6% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.90 Units / 67% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.00 Units / 32% ROI)

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Twins are 35-43 against the Run Line (-11.7 Units / -11.7% ROI).

• 43-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.6 Units / -1.45% ROI
• 36-38 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.8 Units / -6.85% ROI
• 38-36 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.85 Units / -2.18% ROI

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 36-42 against the Run Line (-11.05 Units / -10.76% ROI).

• 38-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.05 Units / -6.2% ROI
• 37-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.15 Units / -7.1% ROI
• 39-37 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.15 Units / -1.35% ROI

Diamondbacks vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Diamondbacks vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Diamondbacks vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today

Diamondbacks vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% (83/248) against Joe Ryan this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — fifth Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 27% (35/128) against Joe Ryan this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — first Percentile.

Joe Ryan has allowed an OBP of just .233 (172 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .303 — 98th Percentile.

Joe Ryan has a strike rate of 70% (1,337/1,903) vs left-handed batters since last season — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 94 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.

Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Brandon Pfaadt allowed a batting average of just .184 vs right-handed batters (sixth best)– 92nd Percentile and .303 vs left-handed batters this season (third worst among qualified SPs)– fifth Percentile.

Brandon Pfaadt has not struck out any hitters in 23 PA’s vs left-handed batters — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 22% — first Percentile.

Brandon Pfaadt has allowed an OBP of just .232 (185 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — tied for 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .287 — 94th Percentile.

Left-handed batters are hitting .303 (53-for-175) against Brandon Pfaadt this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — fifth Percentile.

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

  
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