The Minnesota Twins (-115) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-105) on Tuesday, August 6, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Twins are 63-48 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 55-60 ATS.
Twins vs Cubs Starting Pitchers Today:
- Twins starting pitcher: Pablo Lopez 10-7, 4.67 ERA
- Cubs starting pitcher: Shota Imanaga 8-2, 3.12 ERA
Twins vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Twins vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 52.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Christian Vazquez has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 14 games (+16.00 Units / 114% ROI)
- Max Kepler has hit the Hits Over in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 46% ROI)
- Carlos Santana has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 16 away games (+10.60 Units / 35% ROI)
- Pablo Lopez has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 17 of his last 22 games (+10.35 Units / 33% ROI)
- Royce Lewis has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 22 games (+10.30 Units / 35% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Singles Under in 31 of his last 36 games (+23.85 Units / 44% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 44 games (+21.50 Units / 49% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 26 games (+21.45 Units / 82% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Total Bases Under in 31 of his last 41 games (+19.95 Units / 34% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the RBIs Under in 23 of his last 26 games (+15.60 Units / 26% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 45 games (+12.75 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 56 of their last 91 games (+10.80 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 35 games (+10.55 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.25 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 away games (+3.00 Units / 32% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 58 of their last 103 games (+13.10 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 27 of their last 41 games at home (+12.45 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 41 games at home (+11.70 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 28 games (+5.15 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+4.00 Units / 39% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 55-56 against the Run Line (-3.15 Units / -2.23% ROI).
- 63-48 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.85 Units / 1.16% ROI
- 57-49 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.35 Units / 2.77% ROI
- 49-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.85 Units / -11.42% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 55-60 against the Run Line (-17.35 Units / -10.91% ROI).
- 55-60 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.6 Units / -4.06% ROI
- 49-62 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.2 Units / -15.14% ROI
- 62-49 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.4 Units / 6.65% ROI
Cubs vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Jose Miranda (MIN) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Ryan Jeffers (MIN) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Carlos Santana (MIN) | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -1200 |
Cubs vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nico Hoerner (CHC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Manuel Margot (MIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Jose Miranda (MIN) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Cubs vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Miranda (MIN) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Carlos Santana (MIN) | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
Cubs vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Pablo Lopez (MIN) | 6.5 +100 | 6.5 -130 |
| Shota Imanaga (CHC) | 5.5 +120 | 5.5 -160 |
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 36% (219/613) against Pablo Lopez when he’s behind in the count since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 174 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Pablo Lopez has walked 9 of 243 left-handed batters (4%) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 97th Percentile.
Pablo Lopez has a strikeout rate of 28% (56 SO in 197 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 10th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 86th Percentile.
Pablo Lopez has walked 6 of 198 batters (3%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 98th Percentile.
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Shota Imanaga has walked 4 of 176 batters (2%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .369 (41-for-111) against Shota Imanaga when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .253 — first Percentile.
Shota Imanaga has allowed an OBP of just .227 (176 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .286 — 95th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of 36% (304/843) against Shota Imanaga this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.