The Minnesota Twins (-135) visit Angel Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Angels (+110) on Sunday, August 14, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:07pm EDT in Anaheim.
The Twins are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).
The Twins vs Angels Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Twins are 58-54 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 54-60 ATS.
Twins vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Twins vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Angels will win Sunday‘s matchup with 72.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Twins and Angels and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Max Kepler has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 27 games (+19.10 Units / 62% ROI)
- Trevor Larnach has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 23 away games (+14.30 Units / 31% ROI)
- Max Kepler has hit the Total Bases Under in 25 of his last 32 games (+14.20 Units / 28% ROI)
- Gilberto Celestino has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 26 away games (+11.80 Units / 30% ROI)
- Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 34 away games (+11.50 Units / 26% ROI)
Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Over in 37 of his last 43 games (+25.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Total Bases Over in 32 of his last 48 games (+15.45 Units / 21% ROI)
- Anthony Rendon has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 16 games at home (+13.05 Units / 48% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Runs Under in 29 of his last 40 games (+13.05 Units / 19% ROI)
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Singles Over in 29 of his last 43 games (+12.95 Units / 26% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Twins Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 64 of their last 110 games (+13.55 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 48 away games (+12.50 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 23 of their last 42 games (+5.50 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.10 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.05 Units / 18% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Angels: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 33 of their last 58 games at home (+12.85 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 53 games (+9.70 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 14 games (+4.25 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+4.20 Units / 43% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 52-60 against the Run Line (-10.75 Units / -7.91% ROI).
- 58-54 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.45 Units / -1.64% ROI
- 54-49 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.9 Units / 0.73% ROI
- 49-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.25 Units / -8.28% ROI
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 54-60 against the Run Line (-10.2 Units / -7.21% ROI).
- 50-64 when betting on the Moneyline for -27.3 Units / -18.26% ROI
- 50-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.7 Units / -10.02% ROI
- 57-50 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.65 Units / 2.12% ROI
Christopher Archer: Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chris Archer has thrown his slider 53% of the time (192/363) when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total SL; League Avg: 21% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 65% (13/20) against Chris Archer — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 38% — 0 Percentile.
11 of Chris Archer’s 39 breaking pitch strikeouts (28%) have been backdoor this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: 12% — 95th Percentile.
Chris Archer has located his fastball up for a strike just 45% (134/295) of the time this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: 60% — 0 Percentile.
Joseph Davidson: Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tucker Davidson has allowed at least 3 walks in each of his last five games — tied with Manny Banuelos and Mike Minor for the longest active streak among active MLB players.