Portugal found a way to win against the Czech Republic on Tuesday, but will they have enough to overcome an impressive Turkish side? Here are our Turkey vs. Portugal predictions based on the odds from our best soccer betting sites.
Turkey came into Euro 2024 with a point to prove, having lost every game at Euro 2020. They will be buoyed by their 3-1 win over Georgia in Dortmund on Tuesday – the first time in Turkey's history they won an opening match at a European Championships.
Portugal began this tournament as one of the favorites by the Euro 2024 odds. Cristiano Ronaldo and Co. were far from impressive in their comeback win over the Czech Republic. Despite having 73% possession, they only created two clear-cut chances in the 90 minutes.
The winner of this matchup will secure their place in the Round of 16.
Turkey vs. Portugal p redictions for Saturday
- Final score: Portugal 2, Turkey 1 (+750 via bet365)
- Cristiano Ronaldo anytime goal scorer (-105 via FanDuel)
- Best bet: Portugal win + Over 2.5 goals (+135 via DraftKings)
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Turkey vs. Portugal score prediction
A draw would suit both sides and almost cement their places in the next round. However, this game could also decide who tops Group F.
Either team is capable of scoring, but Portugal's defense will be a tougher test for Turkey than Georgia's. In their last 10 matches in all competitions, the Portuguese have conceded more than one goal on four occasions. They also kept four clean sheets during that run. Portugal have only lost one of the ir last nine group stage games at the Euros (W4 D4).
Until their victory over Georgia, Turkey were winless in six matches heading into the tournament. One of those games was a 6-1 defeat to Austria. The Turks will cause problems for Portugal, but the Portuguese quality will be too strong in this contest.
At +750, bet365's odds represent an implied probability of 11.8%, and a $10 bet will pay a profit of $75.
Best odds: +750 via bet365
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Turkey vs. Portugal anytime goal scorer prediction
Ronaldo is Portugal's talisman. At the age of 39, he was still leading the Portuguese attack in the 90th during his side's tricky match with the Czech Republic on Tuesday. No player had more shots (5), shots on target (3) and shots inside the box (4) than him in the game.
Ronaldo also had the highest xG (0.73) of any player in that Group F match. He's going to get chances and, eventually, he is going to put them away. Turkey's defense has been porous this calendar year, and Ronaldo is just the player to exploit it.
Also, in case he needs extra motivation, Ronaldo has never scored against Turkey in the three matches he's played them. FanDuel's -105 odds are the longest of our best sports betting sites, implying a probability of 51.2%. A $10 wager pays a profit of $9.52 if it hits.
Best odds: -105 via FanDuel
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Turkey vs. Portugal best bet
Over their past 10 matches in all competitions, Turkey have conceded an average of 1.7 goals per game. European minnows, Georgia, even found a way to score against them in their tournament debut.
Meanwhile, Portugal have scored 27 goals in their last 10 matches, which is an average of 2.7 per game. They scored more than any other team during the qualifiers for this tournament (36). Portugal's 30 crosses in their Group F opener on Tuesday were the most of any team in the first round of matches at Euro 2024.
Turkey will also be a threat in attack. They had the most shots (22) and the highest total xG (3.01) of any team in the opening round. The Turks had 11 different players take a shot, which was a total only equalled by Germany. This could be a game with plenty of chances. Portugal has the firepower and will outscore their opponents.
At +1 35, DraftKings' odds imply a probability of 42.6%. A $10 wager pays a profit of $13.50.
Best odds: +135 via DraftKings
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Turkey vs. Portugal game info
- When: Saturday, June 22 at noon ET
- Where: BVB Stadion Dortmund (Dortmund, Germany)
- How to watch: FOX, Fubo
- Favorite: Portugal (-167 via Caesars)
Turkey-Portugal predictions made Thursday at 3 p.m. ET.
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