The Tulsa Golden Hurricane (2-2) visit DATCU Stadium to take on the North Texas Mean Green (3-1) on Sep. 28 in Denton, TX. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT.
North Texas is a betting favorite in Week 5, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).
The Tulsa vs. North Texas Over/Under is 68.5 total points.
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Tulsa vs North Texas Prediction:
The winning team model predicts North Texas will win this game with 69.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Tulsa and North Texas, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Tulsa vs North Texas Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts North Texas will cover the spread with 59.7% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Tulsa Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Tulsa has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.65 Units / 41% ROI)
- Tulsa has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)
- Tulsa has hit the Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.80 Units / 14% ROI)
- Tulsa have covered the Spread in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.80 Units / 14% ROI)
North Texas Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- North Texas has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+5.15 Units / 77% ROI)
- North Texas have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.65 Units / 26% ROI)
- North Texas has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+1.00 Units / 11% ROI)
- North Texas has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)
- North Texas has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+0.65 Units / 8% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Tulsa players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tulsa Player Prop Bets Today
- Anthony Watkins has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 80% ROI)
- Kamdyn Benjamin has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 77% ROI)
Tulsa is 2-10 (.167) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– T-14th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .361
Tulsa is 2-8 (.200) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– T-27th-worst in FBS; Average: .385
Tulsa is 6-10 (.375) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-14th-worst in FBS; Average: .632
Tulsa is 3-8 (.273) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-37th-worst in FBS; Average: .444
North Texas is undefeated (5-0) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .585
North Texas is undefeated (5-0) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: .632
North Texas is 6-2 (.750) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-34th-best in FBS; Average: .604
North Texas is 1-5 (.167) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-11th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .373
North Texas’s QBs has thrown for 1,273 passing yards in 4 games (318.2 YPG) this season — 11th-best among FBS teams. Tulsa’s defense has allowed 248.8 passing yards per game this season — T-29th-worst among FBS defenses.