Sunday was another thrilling, action-packed day that started early with the game in London and well into the night, ending around 8:20 p.m. PT.
As I mentioned on VSiN’s “The Greg Peterson Experience” (my regular spot is 12:15 a.m. ET/9:15 p.m. PT Sunday nights, or 15 minutes into the archive) that favorites and underdogs ended up splitting 6-6-1 ATS on the day, explaining that the push was on the Dolphins-Lions shootout as Miami closed -4 and it landed on the number at 31-27. Some people might have faves leading 7-6 ATS (or even 8-5 if they consider the 49ers as faves even though they closed as 1-point dogs at the Rams). So, I like to point out that these ATS betting results are meant as a snapshot of the overall picture and for individual people it comes down to what numbers you bet the games at. Personally, the day worked out well as we somehow won our Best Bet on the Packers + 11 (and + 11.5) as they stuck around long enough to get the back-door cover in their 27-17 loss at the Bills. The day was a grind as we won earlier on the Panthers + 4 at the Falcons as we thought we were a loser, than a winner on DJ Moore’s miracle TD, then thought we were doomed when he stupidly took his helmet off for an unsportsmanlike conduct penalty that led to a missed PAT. Man, I’m going insane just reliving it, but they still covered in 37-34 OT loss. Unfortunately, we lost our 3 other top plays on the Steelers, Cardinals and Giants, but still came out ahead as we hit all but one of our 2-team, 6-point teasers as the Rams (bet early when they were + 7.5) lost, but we won with all teasers using the Broncos, Saints and Jets, as well as both sides of Ravens-Buccaneers game on Thursday. Let’s recap the rest of Sunday’s full-day of betting action, and then offer our “takes” on Monday (note: we don’t like the MNF game, but do like the Phillies again in Game 3 of the World Series) as well as early NFL Week 9 plays.Sunday’s Recaps
NFL: Bills beat Packers 27-17 on Sunday Night Football, but did NOT cover after closing as 10.5-point home favorites (game stayed Under betting total of 47 points). On the day (including Broncos upsetting Jaguars 21-17 as 1-point dog in early London game), faves went 9-4 SU but split 6-6-1 ATS. Home teams went 7-5 SU, but road teams led 6-5-1 ATS. Unders went 7-6.
More NFL: Favorites lead 72-47-1 SU on the season with 2 pick-’ems, but underdogs still lead 66-50-4 ATS (56.9%). Home teams lead 65-53-1 SU with 3 neutral-site games, but road teams lead 61-54-4 ATS (53%). Unders lead 70-51-1 (57.9%) and primetime Unders lead 15-9 (62.5%).
Even more NFL: Faves went 6-1 SU and 4-2-1 ATS with lone upset by Saints (+ 1.5 vs. Raiders) in the 1 p.m. ET kickoffs. The push was the Dolphins (closed -4) in 31-27 win at Lions. The Panthers (+ 4) covered in 37-34 OT loss at Falcons. Home teams went 5-2 SU and 4-2-1 ATS. Overs 5-2. In the afternoon games, faves/dogs split 2-2 SU and ATS with upsets by Commanders (+ 3 at Colts) and 49ers (closed + 1 at Rams after being favored all week). Road teams went 3-1 SU and ATS. Unders 3-1.