Sunday was another exciting roller-coaster of a day in the Tuley’s Takes home office as I stayed home to watch all the games and make Buffalo and BBQ chicken wings in my double-bin air fryer.
And even though those were as good as they sound, they weren’t the highlight of my day as we started off with a 3-0 ATS start with our Best Bets as the Jets + 7.5 at the Packers, Falcons + 4.5 vs. the 49ers and Patriots + 2.5 at the Browns all not only covered but pulled outright upsets. It was really setting up to be an epic day as the Panthers (+ 10 at the Rams) jumped out to an early lead, but unfortunately the Panthers couldn’t hold on but not only lost but also failed to cover in a 24-10 loss. Then, on Sunday night, the Cowboys (+ 6.5) rallied to get within 20-17 and looked like they might cover, but ended up losing 26-17 and failing to cover (though we still almost got there with a late FG attempt). Still, it was a winning day including winning posted 2-team, 6-point teasers on the Saints + 8/Seahawks + 8.5 and Chiefs + 8/Seahawks + 8.5, but it could have been so much better. Regardless, as you’ll see from our betting recaps below, underdogs and Unders continue to be the way to go in the NFL through nearly six weeks of the season, so let’s get to our recaps as well as taking a peek into Contest Corner, where there was more carnage in Circa Survivor.Sunday’s Recaps
NFL: Eagles beat Cowboys 26-17 on Sunday Night Football and held on to cover as 6.5-point home favorites as Cowboys missed late FG (went just Over closing total of 42.5). Faves/dogs split 6-6 SU and ATS on Sunday. Home teams led 7-5 SU and ATS. Unders were 8-4 on day (9-4 in Week 6, including TNF).
More NFL: Faves lead 53-37-1 SU on the season with 2 pick-’ems (WAS-DET and TEN-WAS), but dogs still lead 51-37-3 ATS (58%). Home teams are 48-42-1 SU with 2 neutral-site games, but road teams lead 46-42-3 ATS (52.3%). Unders lead 55-37-1 (59.8%), primetime Unders dip to 12-6 (66.7%).
Even more NFL: Underdogs went 5-3 ATS in early Sunday games with 5 outright upsets by Steelers (+ 9.5 vs. Buccaneers), Jets (+ 8 at Packers), Giants (+ 5.5 vs. Ravens), Falcons (+ 3.5 vs. 49ers) and Patriots (+ 2.5 at Browns). Road teams also 5-3 SU and ATS. Unders led 5-3. Bills rallied to beat Chiefs 24-20 and covered as 2.5-point road favorites as chalk went 2-1 SU and ATS in afternoon games. Rams (-9.5) also rallied to win and cover in 24-10 win vs. Panthers. Seahawks (+ 2.5) upset Cardinals 19-9. Home teams also 2-1 SU and ATS. Unders 3-0.