Week 13 picks from a “dog or pass” point of view”
We've been talking about the “roller coaster” of football betting the last couple of weeks in the Tuley’s Takes home office.
Not to mix metaphors, but we also often write about the ebb and flow of the football season (or any sports season for that matter) and catching a wave. Hopefully, Week 12 of the NFL season was the low point as favorites dominated 12-4 straight-up and against-the-spread – and it was even worse on Sunday as chalk went 9-2 SU and ATS, so you know it was a “wipe out” for underdog bettors like yours truly.
Drawing from that stacked deck, I went 2-4 ATS with my Best Bets as I lost with the Commanders +11 in a 45-10 loss at the Cowboys on Thanksgiving and also lost with the Jets +10 in another rout, 34-13, at the Dolphins on Black Friday. Moving to Sunday, I lucked out as I had the Bills +3.5 in this column last Wednesday and bet it early to cash in their 34-31 OT loss at Eagles even though they didn’t cover vs. the closing number of +2.5. I also lost on the Raiders +9 in a 31-17 loss vs. the Chiefs and the Chargers +3.5 in a 20-10 loss vs. the Ravens on Sunday Night Football (that was a bit of a bad beat, we move on), but cut my losses when the Bears +3.5 pulled off a 12-10 minor upset at the Vikings on Monday Night Football.
The other thing that helped me cut my losses was hitting my top 2-team, 6-point teaser on Texans +7.5/Buccaneers +8.5 as they both cashed those numbers in respective 24-21 loss vs. the Jaguars and 27-20 loss at the Colts.