Monday was a pretty diverse day in and out of the Tuley’s Takes home office.
We had some technical difficulties in getting yesterday’s column posted and tended to some family matters, including taking my son to his weekly Las Vegas Youth Orchestra practice. And then the highlight of the day came with Monday Night Football as we won our Best Bet on the Saints +3.5 as the Buccaneers jumped out to a 3-0 lead but never led by more than the spread the whole game, even when they rallied to win 17-16. For more details, see my weekly “Monday Night Football recap” at VSiN.com. The win improved our record to 25-13-1 ATS (65.8%) with my daily top play here in these columns since Oct. 27. Regular readers will also know that I originally gave out this play at Saints +6 on “The Greg Peterson Experience” (12:15 a.m. ET/9:15 p.m. PT or 15 minutes into the archived version) a week ago Sunday, and my VSiN colleague Jason Latus has me at 27-12 ATS (69.2%) since the start of the football season with those plays that appear in the daily VSiN email updates and 14-3 ATS (82.4%) since the start of November. Note: our early plays for NFL Week 14 from this past Sunday’s show are at the end of this column. Let’s recap the rest of Monday’s betting action, take a peek into Contest Corner with updated leaders in Circa Sports Million and the West SuperContest, and then look for Best Bets on Tuesday as well as giving updates on those early NFL Week 14 plays.Monday’s Recaps
NFL: Buccaneers rallied to beat Saints 17-16 on Tom Brady's TD pass with :03 left (and the PAT), The Saints still covered as 3.5-point road underdogs (game stayed Under 41). Favorites went 13-1-1 SU (WAS-NYG tied 20-20) and 10-5 ATS in Week 13. The only outright upset was by the Bengals (+2.5 in 27-24 win vs. Chiefs). Home teams went 8-6-1 SU and 8-7 ATS. Under led 8-7; primetime Unders 2-1.
More NFL: On the season, faves lead 122-67-2 SU with 4 pick-'ems, but dogs still lead 100-85-6 ATS (54.1%). Home teams lead 104-83-2 SU with 6 neutral-site games and 94-89-6 ATS (51.6%). Unders improved to 108-85-2 (56%) and primetime Unders improved to 21-18-1 (53.8%).
NBA: Underdogs went 5-3 SU and 7-1 ATS on Monday with the upsets by the Pacers (+12 at Warriors), Rockets (+8 vs. 76ers), Thunder (+6 at Hawks), Grizzlies (+5 vs. Heat) and Bruins (+1.5 at Raptors). The Magic (+10.5 vs. Buck) and Hornets (+6 vs. Clippers) covered in SU losses. The Mavericks (-3 in 130-111 win vs. Suns) were the only fave to cover. Road teams went 5-3 SU, but home teams led 5-3 ATS. Unders 5-3.