Wednesday Best Bets, Tuesday Recaps
Wednesday was a very interesting hump day with work meetings and running around town to get in my last-minute MLB season bets.
Well, that’s not entirely true as I made my actual bets on my mobile apps, though I did run to the Westgate to enter their MLB Over/Under Season Win Totals contest. I usually do my baseball betting on a day-to-day basis. I had a lot of success over the years with underdogs as well as umpire Over/Unders, but those have dried up and are not as lucrative as they used to be. Last summer from July until the end of the season, I was rejuvenated by shortening the games by focusing on dogs with First-Five-Inning wagers. I expect that will be our focus when we jump in on individual games. I’m not expecting to get involved with any games on Opening Day, so my only wagers so far are on the San Diego Padres and Toronto Blue Jays. I’ve been high on both teams the past couple of years and I’m hoping they finally pay off (and recoup my prior losses) this year. For our purposes here (and in the VSiN Best Bets file), I’ll go both teams to win their respective divisions with the Blue Jays at +190 to win the AL East (Station Casinos here in Vegas) and the Padres at +120 to win the NL West (Westgate SuperBook). I also found the Blue Jays at 13-1 to win the World Series and the Padres at +950 (both at William Hill). As for my supposed Best Bets on Wednesday, I lost my top play on the Timberwolves +6.5 at the Suns as I had the right side the vast majority of the game for the second night in a row but lost in the end as the Suns won 107-100. I also lost my secondary play on the Wild-Avalanche 1P Under 1.5 as 1P Overs continue to be too strong (I was trying to time my move right by feeling that there was finally value on a 1P Under, but it didn’t work – at least not in this case). Anyway, let’s recap the rest of Wednesday’s betting action and look for more Best Bets on Thursday, (note: I am passing on one potential “anti-swagger” play against the Celtics, who just had a 7-game winning streak snapped, as it would entail betting the Bucks -3, but just mentioning it for those readers who don’t mind betting chalk), plus our early play for the Final Four.Wednesday Recaps
NBA: Faves went 9-1 SU and 6-3-1 ATS with the push in Bucks (-13) 149-136 win at Pacers. The Rockets (+10.5) covered in 123-114 loss at Nets and Pistons (+9.5) covered in 107-106 loss at Thunder. The lone upset was by the Clippers (+2) in 141-132 win at Grizzlies. Home/road teams split 5-5 SU, but road teams led 6-3-1 ATS. Over/Unders split 5-5.
More NBA: On the season, favorites improved to 750-379 SU with 16 games closing pick-'em and also regained lead at 553-551-25 ATS (50.1%). Home teams lead 669-476 SU and 578-544-23 ATS (51.5%). In totals wagering, Overs still hold slim lead at 569-559-17 (50.4%).