Sunday Best Bets, Saturday recaps
Saturday was all about the NFL divisional playoffs in the Tuley’s Takes home office, even though we also had plenty of horse racing action and our NHL First-Period Overs.
We won our Best Bet of the day on the Jaguars-Chiefs Under 53 in the Chiefs’ 27-20 victory, which was helped by Patrick Mahomes leaving the field with an ankle injury and then hobbling through the second half (though backup Chad Henne led a 98-yard TD drive in relife, so we still believe we were right on the right side of the bet). We also won with the Chiefs -2.5/Eagles -1.5 teaser from earlier in the week that it seemed everyone (sharps and squares alike) had from earlier in the week.
We did lose on the Giants +7.5 and lost our main NHL First-Period Over parlay on the Ducks-Sabres 1P Over 1.5 -160/Lightning-Flames 1P Over 1.5 -140 as the Sabres led the Ducks 2-0 but the Flames led the Lightning only 1-0 after the first 20 minutes even though there were 9 goals scored in the whole game. We’re still a very respectable 4-4 with these plays (especially since they’re plus-money dogs with the way we play them in parlays) for a net profit of 2.94 units. Note: the individual plays are 12-4 picks for those willing to lay around an average of -160, so you’d be up more than 5 units if playing them straight.
We did also have a winner with the Oilers-Canucks 1P Over 1.5 as the Oilers led 2-0, but the Ducks-Sabres/Oilers-Canucks combo paid around +160 and we were still a small loser for the day with our recommended round-robin. But the NFL winners more than made up for those. Let’s recap the rest of Saturday’s (full-game) action and then give our Sunday Best Bet in the NFL Divisional Playoffs. We do have one anti-swagger play in the NBA, but none of our preferred NHL 1P Over teams are in action as the day will mostly be about the NFL. I’ll also make my weekly appearance on “The Greg Peterson Experience” at 12:15 a.m. ET/9:15 p.m. PT on Sunday night to recap the weekend’s action and give my early “takes” on the opening lines for the NFC and AFC Championship Games next Sunday.Saturday Recaps
NFL: Eagles ran over Giants 38-7 in NFC Divisional Playoffs late Saturday. The VFV is they easily covered as 8-point home favorites as the game stayed Under the betting total of 48 points. Earlier, Chiefs beat Jaguars 27-20 in AFC Divisional Playoffs with a hobbled Patrick Mahomes, but the VFV is the Jaguars covered after closing as 9.5-point road underdogs. However, the Chiefs still covered as very popular teaser play. The game stayed Under 52 points.
More NFL: Faves swept 2-0 SU on Saturday, but faves/dogs split 1-1 ATS. Home teams also went 2-0 SU & 1-1 ATS. Unders swept 2-0. The Eagles' win improved faves to 6-2 SU so far in playoffs and their cover cut dogs' lead to 5-3 ATS. Home teams improved to 6-2 SU while cutting road teams' lead to 5-3 ATS. Overs dipped to 5-3.