- Tuesday's MLB slate is loaded with intriguing matchups and betting lines.
- Charlie Disturco, our MLB betting expert, breaks down the MLB slate for Tuesday, May 30 and details how he's betting tonight's games.
- Continue reading for his picks and analysis.
I wrote about this matchup in-depth here. Alex Faedo is a breakout candidate this season after returning from Tommy John surgery in limited fashion last season. His command has taken a 180 in 2023, and his numbers have taken a turn for the better.
Faedo has just a 1.2 BB%, and his Strikeout Rate has jumped above 25 percent. Opponents have just a .233 xBA against Faedo, too. And he's even due for positive regression, with an xERA (3.05) over a run lower than his actual ERA (4.15). Much of that has to do with his extremely low 65.8 LOB%.
Martin Perez, a big fade target, will counter him on the mound. The left-hander has seen his Strikeout Rate decline while his xBA (.278) and xERA (4.61) have ominou sly grown from last year. He often relies on pitching to contact and has posted an unsustainable 79.7 LOB%. His career LOB% is about 10% lower.