The Troy Trojans (5-2) visit Jim Wacker Field at Bobcat Stadium to take on the Texas State Bobcats (5-2) on Oct. 28 in San Marcos.
Troy is a betting favorite in Week 9, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).
The Troy vs. Texas State Over/Under is 52.5 total points.
Bet now on Texas State vs Troy & all NCAAF games with BetMGM
Troy vs Texas State Prediction for Week 9
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Troy will win this game with 64.8% confidence.
Troy vs Texas State Spread Prediction for Week 9
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Texas State will cover the spread with 51.5% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Troy and Texas State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Bet now on Texas State vs Troy and all games with BetMGM
Get up to $1,500 First Bet Offer
Troy Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Troy has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games (+8.80 Units / 61% ROI)
- Troy has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.95 Units / 23% ROI)
- Troy has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.75 Units / 47% ROI)
- Troy have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- Troy has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
Texas State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Texas State has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+14.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Texas State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+4.45 Units / 20% ROI)
- Texas State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 3 of their last 4 games at home (+1.90 Units / 41% ROI)
- Texas State has hit the Team Total Over in 3 of their last 4 games (+1.85 Units / 40% ROI)
- Texas State have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.10 Units / 9% ROI)
Best Troy Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Troy players for Week 9, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Kimani Vidal has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Kimani Vidal has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 80% ROI)
- Gunnar Watson has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 69% ROI)
- Gunnar Watson has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Troy Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Troy is 3-4 against the spread this college football season (-1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI).
- Troy is 4-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.55 Units / 10.51% ROI
- Troy is 2-5 when betting the Over for -3.5 Units / -45.45% ROI
- Troy is 5-2 when betting the Under for +2.8 Units / 36.36% ROI
Texas State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Texas State is 4-3 against the spread this college football season (+0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI).
- Texas State is 5-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +16 Units / 49.77% ROI
- Texas State is 3-4 when betting the Over for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI
- Texas State is 4-3 when betting the Under for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI
Troy was undefeated (5-0) when rushing for 120 or more yards in the 2022 season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .485
Troy is undefeated (14-0) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2022 season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .430
Troy is undefeated (9-0) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2022 season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .477
Troy is undefeated (5-0) when not throwing an interception since the 2022 season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .492
Texas State was winless (0-7) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times in the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .414
Texas State is 6-15 (.273) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2021 season– tied for 35th-worst in FBS; Average: .398
Texas State is 2-7 (.222) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2022 season– tied for 12th-worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .408
Texas State is 7-16 (.292) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2021 season– tied for 35th-worst in FBS; Average: .419
Texas State’s WRs have 237.7 receiving yards per game this season — 17th-best among FBS WRs. Troy’s defense has allowed just 183.0 receiving yards per game this season — 18th-best among FBS defenses.