Trevin Giles vs Preston Parsons Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for UFC on ESPN 43 (Can Giles Avoid Being Finished?)

Giles vs Parsons Fight Info, Date & Time

UFC on ESPN 43 – Preliminary Card Welterweight Bout
Trevin Giles (15-4, 6 KOs) vs. Preston Parsons (10-3, 0 KOs)
Date:'Saturday, March 25, 2023
Fight Time:'This will be on the preliminary card, which begins at 4 p.m. ET.
Venue:'AT&T Center – San Antonio, Texas
Coverage:'ESPN+, ESPN

Giles vs Parsons Odds & Prop Bets

Moneyline:
– Trevin Giles: (-113)
– Preston Parsons: (-113)

Method of Victory:
– Giles by KO/TKO: (+260)
– Giles by Points: (+430)
– Giles by Submission: (+750)
– Parsons by KO/TKO: (+950)
– Parsons by Points: (+380)
– Parsons by Submission: (+260)

Giles vs Parsons Prediction

Both welterweights are looking to prove themselves in San Antonio. After back-to-back knockout losses, Trevin Giles is coming off a unanimous decision win over Louis Cosce back in his last outing. Meanwhile, Preston Parsons scored a unanimous decision victory against Evan Elder after dropping his UFC debut.

At the end of the day, I see Parsons' barrage being too much to handle. "Pressure" averages 5.22 significant strikes per minute – nearly twice as many as Giles – with 63% accuracy. Parsons also takes his opponents down 3.19 times per 15 mins and boasts 100% takedown defense, whereas Giles avera ges 1.46 and 73%, respectively.

It's also tough to trust Giles when half of his career knockout losses have come in his last three fights. Parsons has had no issues finishing his previous MMA opponents and that won't change this weekend.

Giles vs Parsons Best Bet

With the odds being dead even, I'm not comfortable taking any huge risks with this fight. Instead, go with the simplest option: Parsons at -113 moneyline odds. He has more momentum on his side and beating Giles would be the biggest win of his MMA career so far.

However, if you're looking for more value, Parsons by submission at +260 is intriguing. Nine of his 10 career wins have come by submission while Giles has been finished four times – two of which were submission losses.