It’s a loaded schedule in the NBA on Friday night with 13 games as the regular season is close to an end. Six games have a line of 5 points or fewer and 7 games have a total of at least 231 points with the Warriors-Spurs game the highest at 241.5 points. Here are my picks for tonight.
Jalen Williams over 27.5 points+assists (-120)
Whenever Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is out, I bet Williams’ props. The books have raised the numbers slightly since Williams has been crushing it. Over the last 4 games, Williams has played 37, 34, 37 and 38 minutes. In the last 6 games without Gilgeous-Alexander, Williams is averaging 25 points and 6.5 assists. He has gone over this total in 5 of the last six without SGA and had at least 31 in 5 games. The Pacers have allowed at least 120 points in 4 straight games and are 26th in defensive efficiency. Williams gets an increase in usage by 4.5% to 23.1% without SGA and has a 23% assist rate without SGA.