The Minnesota Timberwolves face the daunting prospect of playing Game 3 in Dallas down two games, and we have you covered with our top Timberwolves vs. Mavericks player props based on the best NBA odds.
Entering the Western Conference Finals, the Minnesota Timberwolves had the second-shortest NBA championship odds. That was before they collided with the soul-crushing force that is Luka Doncic.
Scoring 32 points, including the game-winner over Rudy Gobert in the final moments, the Dallas Mavericks star carried his team on Friday. The Mavericks' 109-107 has them perfectly positioned entering tonight's Game 3. The Mavericks are 3-point favorites to beat the Timberwolves, which tips off at 8 p.m. ET on TNT/truTV.
That type of play has cemented Doncic as a prime candidate for the NBA Finals MVP should the Mavericks advance. The Timberwolves, meanwhi le, are fighting to keep their playoff hopes alive. With their backs against the wall, they will need a collective effort to counter Doncic's brilliance and shift the momentum in their favor as the series progresses.
In companion with our Timberwolves vs. Mavericks parlay, here are our best Timberwolves vs. Mavericks player props and NBA picks (odds via our best NBA betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Game 3 player props
- Luka Doncic Over 38.5 pts + ast (-118 via FanDuel) ????
- Naz Reid Over 11.5 points (-105 via DraftKings) ????
- Dereck Lively Over 7.5 rebounds (-108 via DraftKings) ????
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Timberwolves vs. Mavericks prop bet predictions for Sunday
Ahead of Game 2, we were high on Doncic's scoring potential after he cooked the Timberwolves in the fourth quarter of Game 1. Sure enough, the Mavericks star scored 29-plus for the fourth straight game and delivered the dagger over Gobert's outstretched arms.
He also finished with a game-high 13 assists as he continued to slice through the Timberwolves' soft coverage with easy lobs and dump-offs inside. That marked his fourth game with double-digit assists in his last five tries, and he's cleared this combined prop total in four straight games.
You could also bet on another triple double (+375 via bet365) from Doncic, who now has four in his last five games. I slightly prefer this bet at -118 odds, which profits $8.47 on a winning $10 wager with an implied probability of 54.13%, per our odds converter.
Best odds: -118 via FanDuel
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It's rather telling that with the Timberwolves down one in the closing seconds, in a game they simply couldn't afford to lose, Reid was the one firing off the 3-pointer to beat the buzzer:
How could he not get that shot? The NBA Sixth Man of the Year odds winner led Minnesota with 23 points on Friday, hitting seven of eight attempts from deep before that last-second miss. Coach Chris Finch even benched starter Karl-Anthony Towns for the final 8:40 of the fourth quarter, opting for the hot hand in Reid.
Reid had 15 points in Game 1 and has scored in double figures in four straight games. I'd expect Finch to feed him again in Game 3 until the Mavericks' defense commits to stopping him. With this prop dealing as short as -122 at FanDuel, this is a strong value at -105 odds for a total well within Reid's reach.
Best odds: -105 via DraftKings
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Lively has made himself an indispensible part of the Mavericks' rotation with his play on both ends of the court. He's a perfect 10-for-10 from the floor in this series, and his defense on Anthony Edwards in the closing seconds of Game 2 helped set up Doncic's game-winner.
He's also been crucial on the glass, pulling down nine or more rebounds in four straight games. The result has been a steady floor of playing time for the rookie center, who has played between 23 and 29 minutes off the bench in each of the Mavericks' last six contests.
This total is a full rebound higher at FanDuel, while these -108 odds at DraftKings imply a mere 51.92% chance that Lively clears this rebounding total for a fifth consecutive game. I love our chances of cashing this one in Game 3.
Best odds: -108 via DraftKings
Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Game 3 odd s
How to watch Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Game 3
- When: Sunday, May 26
- Tip-off: 8 p.m. ET
- Where: American Airlines Center
- How to watch: TNT, truTV
- Favorite: Mavericks -3 (-110 via bet365)
Timberwolves-Mavericks player props made Saturday at 3:30 p.m. ET.
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