The Detroit Tigers (+145) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-175) on Wednesday, July 3, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN.
This season, the Tigers are 38-47 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 41-44 ATS.
Tigers vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Tigers starting pitcher: Keider Montero 0-2, 9.36 ERA
- Twins starting pitcher: David Festa 1-0, 9.01 ERA
Tigers vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Tigers vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 58.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Matt Vierling has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 26 games (+22.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Matt Vierling has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+14.45 Units / 41% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+13.15 Units / 41% ROI)
- Gio Urshela has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+12.60 Units / 34% ROI)
- Matt Vierling has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+11.95 Units / 56% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Royce Lewis has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 9 games at home (+18.15 Units / 202% ROI)
- Trevor Larnach has hit the Walks Under in 21 of his last 24 games (+15.00 Units / 27% ROI)
- Max Kepler has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 27 games (+11.65 Units / 41% ROI)
- Willi Castro has hit the Runs Over in 21 of his last 35 games (+11.05 Units / 30% ROI)
- Max Kepler has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 27 games (+9.85 Units / 19% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 21 away games (+10.25 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 21 away games (+9.70 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 39 of their last 68 games (+9.05 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 7 games (+0.15 Units / 2% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 43 of their last 68 games (+13.95 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 65 games (+10.00 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 9 games (+9.55 Units / 94% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.30 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.50 Units / 31% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 37-48 against the Run Line (-16.8 Units / -14.69% ROI).
- 38-47 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.15 Units / -13.31% ROI
- 44-35 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.15 Units / 5.68% ROI
- 35-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.3 Units / -14.79% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 41-44 against the Run Line (-4.15 Units / -3.84% ROI).
- 48-37 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.05 Units / 0.89% ROI
- 41-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.9 Units / -3.14% ROI
- 40-41 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.15 Units / -5.57% ROI
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Keider Montero threw at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 38% (6/16) of opposing batters — 5th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — second Percentile.
Keider Montero has thrown off-speed pitches 57% of the time (16/28) when he’s behind in the count over the last 14 days — 10th highest in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 35% — 86th Percentile.
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .318 (7-for-22) against David Festa over the past seven days (1 games) — 8th highest among AL Starters over the last week; League Avg: .230 — 15th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 14% (6/43) against David Festa over the past seven days (1 games) — tied for 5th lowest among AL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 24% — ninth Percentile.
David Festa has a strikeout rate of just 9% (2 SO in 23 PAs) over the past seven days (1 games) — 3rd lowest among AL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 23% — fourth Percentile.
David Festa has thrown off-speed pitches 64% of the time (29/45) vs left-handed batters over the past seven days (1 games) — 7th highest among AL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 48% — 88th Percentile.