The Detroit Tigers (-110) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-110) on Tuesday, July 2, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN.
This season, the Tigers are 38-46 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 40-44 ATS.
Tigers vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Tigers starting pitcher: Tarik Skubal 9-3, 2.32 ERA
- Twins starting pitcher: Simeon Woods Richardson 3-1, 3.43 ERA
Tigers vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Tigers vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 51.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Matt Vierling has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 26 games (+22.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Matt Vierling has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+14.45 Units / 41% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+13.15 Units / 41% ROI)
- Gio Urshela has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+12.60 Units / 34% ROI)
- Matt Vierling has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+11.95 Units / 56% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Royce Lewis has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 9 games at home (+18.15 Units / 202% ROI)
- Trevor Larnach has hit the Walks Under in 21 of his last 24 games (+15.00 Units / 27% ROI)
- Max Kepler has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 27 games (+11.65 Units / 41% ROI)
- Willi Castro has hit the Runs Over in 21 of his last 35 games (+11.05 Units / 30% ROI)
- Max Kepler has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 27 games (+9.85 Units / 19% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 20 away games (+10.70 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 20 away games (+9.25 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 38 of their last 67 games (+8.05 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 6 games (+0.15 Units / 2% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 42 of their last 67 games (+12.95 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 64 games (+9.00 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 8 games (+7.85 Units / 86% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.30 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.50 Units / 28% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 37-47 against the Run Line (-14.8 Units / -13.17% ROI).
- 38-46 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.15 Units / -12.42% ROI
- 43-35 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.15 Units / 4.63% ROI
- 35-43 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.15 Units / -13.68% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 40-44 against the Run Line (-5.85 Units / -5.47% ROI).
- 47-37 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.05 Units / 0.04% ROI
- 40-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.9 Units / -4.26% ROI
- 40-40 when betting on the total runs Under for -4 Units / -4.38% ROI
Twins vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Jose Miranda (MIN) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -800 |
| Ryan Jeffers (MIN) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Jake Rogers (DET) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
Twins vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Manuel Margot (MIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Colt Keith (DET) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Mark Canha (DET) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Wenceel Perez (DET) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Twins vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gio Urshela (DET) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Colt Keith (DET) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
| Mark Canha (DET) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jose Miranda (MIN) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Justyn-Henry Malloy (DET) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
Twins vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Simeon Woods Richardson (MIN) | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -140 |
| Tarik Skubal (DET) | 6.5 +135 | 6.5 -175 |
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tarik Skubal has a first-pitch strike rate of 72% (279/386) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 21% (19/89) against Tarik Skubal when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 39% — 100th Percentile.
Tarik Skubal has allowed an OBP of just .194 (144 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .279 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .118 (10-for-85) against Tarik Skubal’s elevated fastball this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .210 — 98th Percentile.
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .419 (13 GB hits out of 31 GBs) against Simeon Woods Richardson with runners on base this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 32 total IP; League Avg: .258 — third Percentile.
Simeon Woods Richardson has allowed an OBP of just .206 (63 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 32 total IP; League Avg: .315 — 99th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 33% (6/18) against Simeon Woods Richardson over the last 14 days — tied for 9th lowest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — 23rd Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .133 (2-for-15) against Simeon Woods Richardson when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days — tied for 8th best among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .237 — 87th Percentile.