Tigers vs Twins Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug. 3

The Detroit Tigers (+180) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-225) on Wednesday, August 3, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Minneapolis.

The Twins are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Tigers vs Twins Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Tigers are 42-63 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 47-56 ATS.

Tigers vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Tigers vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 58.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Twins and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Harold Castro has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 14 away games (+10.85 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Akil Baddoo has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 13 away games (+10.40 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Harold Castro has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 14 away games (+10.25 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Austin Meadows has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Austin Meadows has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today

    And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 37 games at home (+15.30 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Alex Kirilloff has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+11.80 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Carlos Correa has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 14 games at home (+11.55 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Max Kepler has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 21 games (+11.30 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Jose Miranda has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 21 games (+10.25 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Twins vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Carlos Correa 0.5 +310 0.5 -550
    Gio Urshela 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
    Jake Cave 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
    Jorge Polanco 0.5 +290 0.5 -450
    Jose Miranda 0.5 +280 0.5 -450

    Twins vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Carlos Correa 1.5 +155 1.5 -225
    Gio Urshela 1.5 +155 1.5 -225
    Jake Cave 0.5 -185 0.5 +125
    Jorge Polanco 1.5 +180 1.5 -275
    Jose Miranda 1.5 +165 1.5 -250

    Twins vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Carlos Correa 0.5 +135 0.5 -190
    Gio Urshela 0.5 +120 0.5 -175
    Jake Cave 0.5 +185 0.5 -275
    Jorge Polanco 0.5 +110 0.5 -155
    Jose Miranda 0.5 +100 0.5 -145

    Twins vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Joe Ryan 5.5 +100 5.5 -145
    Tyler Alexander 2.5 -185 2.5 +125

  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 59 of their last 102 games (+19.95 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 30 of their last 51 games (+9.10 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 73 games (+4.65 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+3.65 Units / 73% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 30 away games (+3.45 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 36 of their last 66 games (+8.60 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 57 of their last 101 games (+8.40 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 46 of their last 86 games (+6.80 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 50 of their last 91 games (+3.50 Units / 3% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 36 of their last 71 games (+0.85 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 48-57 against the Run Line (-17.5 Units / -13.16% ROI).

    • 42-63 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.6 Units / -7.7% ROI
    • 38-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -27.3 Units / -23.61% ROI
    • 60-38 when betting on the total runs Under for +18.8 Units / 16.22% ROI

    Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 47-56 against the Run Line (-11.25 Units / -9.01% ROI).

    • 54-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.3 Units / -0.94% ROI
    • 49-46 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.75 Units / -0.66% ROI
    • 46-49 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.85 Units / -6.89% ROI

    Tyler Alexander has struck out just 12% (13/106) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 4th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 25% — third Percentile.

    Tyler Alexander has a strikeout rate of just 12% (19 SO in 158 PAs) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.

    Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (52/293) against Tyler Alexander this season — 7th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 28% — third Percentile.

    Hitters batting in the top of the order have hit .396 against Tyler Alexander this season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .233 — first Percentile.

    Joseph Ryan: Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

    Opponents have a miss rate of just 12% (17/141) against Joe Ryan with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 0 Percentile.

    Joe Ryan has a strikeout rate of just 9% (6 SO in 71 PAs) with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP; League Avg: 21% — 0 Percentile.

    Opponents have a groundball rate of just 30% (72/242) against Joe Ryan this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP; League Avg: 43% — second Percentile.

    Opponents have a groundball rate of just 32% (29/92) against Joe Ryan in two-strike counts this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP; League Avg: 45% — second Percentile.

    Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

      
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