The Detroit Tigers (+135) visit Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-160) on Tuesday, September 17, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.

This season, the Tigers are 78-73 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 85-66 ATS.

Tigers vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:

• Tigers starting pitcher: Casey Mize 2-6, 4.46 ERA
• Royals starting pitcher: Cole Ragans 11-9, 3.34 ERA

Tigers vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Tigers vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 56.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:

• Colt Keith has hit the Hits Over in his last 15 away games (+16.85 Units / 57% ROI)
• Wenceel Perez has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 11 away games (+16.50 Units / 150% ROI)
• Colt Keith has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 23 away games (+11.45 Units / 40% ROI)
• Colt Keith has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 19 away games (+11.35 Units / 48% ROI)
• Parker Meadows has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 21 away games (+10.65 Units / 39% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Home Runs Over in 11 of his last 36 games (+18.55 Units / 52% ROI)
• Salvador Perez has hit the Runs Under in 35 of his last 46 games (+17.85 Units / 25% ROI)
• Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Hits Under in 23 of his last 29 games (+11.85 Units / 21% ROI)
• Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+9.15 Units / 36% ROI)
• Tommy Pham has hit the Walks Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.10 Units / 28% ROI)

Tigers Best Bets Today:

• The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 43 of their last 64 games (+20.65 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 66 games (+15.75 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 35 away games (+12.35 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 9 games (+9.90 Units / 110% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 77% ROI)

Royals Best Bets Today:

• The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 43 of their last 74 games at home (+13.64 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 74 games at home (+10.50 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 39 of their last 74 games at home (+9.55 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 40 of their last 68 games (+8.59 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Over in 33 of their last 55 games at home (+8.35 Units / 13% ROI)

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 81-70 against the Run Line (+3.5 Units / 1.72% ROI).

• 78-73 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.6 Units / 1.47% ROI
• 74-69 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.75 Units / -1.08% ROI
• 69-74 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.45 Units / -7.63% ROI

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Royals are 85-66 against the Run Line (+9.88 Units / 4.84% ROI).

• 82-69 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.9 Units / 4.71% ROI
• 67-78 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.3 Units / -11.16% ROI
• 78-67 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.6 Units / 2.17% ROI

Royals vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Royals vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Royals vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today

Royals vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Hitters have chased just 59 of Casey Mize’s 302 breaking balls out of the zone (chase rate of 20%) this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 60 total IP; League Avg: 31% — second Percentile.

Casey Mize has allowed an OPS of .990 (100 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 60 total IP; League Avg: .706 — first Percentile.

Casey Mize has a strikeout rate of just 12% (12 SO in 103 PAs) with runners in scoring position this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 60 total IP; League Avg: 22% — third Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .308 (48-for-156) against Casey Mize when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 60 total IP; League Avg: .246 — fifth Percentile.

Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .556 (15 GB hits out of 27 GBs) against Cole Ragans with runners in scoring position this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 60 total IP; League Avg: .242 — 0 Percentile.

Cole Ragans has a first-pitch strike rate of just 58% (415/713) this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — eighth Percentile.

Cole Ragans has allowed an OBP of just .238 (269 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .288 — 94th Percentile.

Cole Ragans has allowed an OBP of just .192 (417 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — 91st Percentile.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

  
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