The Detroit Tigers (+125) visit Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-150) on Monday, September 16, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.

This season, the Tigers are 77-73 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 85-65 ATS.

Tigers vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:

• Tigers starting pitcher: Casey Mize 2-6, 4.46 ERA
• Royals starting pitcher: Seth Lugo 16-8, 2.94 ERA

Tigers vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Tigers vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Monday‘s MLB game with 51.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:

• Parker Meadows has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+16.60 Units / 166% ROI)
• Colt Keith has hit the Hits Over in his last 14 away games (+15.85 Units / 58% ROI)
• Colt Keith has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 22 away games (+12.90 Units / 47% ROI)
• Colt Keith has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 18 away games (+10.10 Units / 45% ROI)
• Parker Meadows has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 away games (+9.65 Units / 37% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Salvador Perez has hit the Runs Under in 34 of his last 45 games (+16.85 Units / 25% ROI)
• Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 35 games (+13.85 Units / 40% ROI)
• Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Hits Under in 23 of his last 28 games (+13.50 Units / 25% ROI)
• Seth Lugo has hit the Earned Runs Under in 22 of his last 30 games (+12.75 Units / 34% ROI)
• Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 24 games (+10.15 Units / 42% ROI)

Tigers Best Bets Today:

• The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 42 of their last 63 games (+19.65 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 39 of their last 65 games (+14.60 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 34 away games (+11.35 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 34 away games (+10.20 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 38 games (+9.75 Units / 23% ROI)

Royals Best Bets Today:

• The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 43 of their last 73 games at home (+14.64 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 73 games at home (+11.85 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 38 of their last 73 games at home (+8.55 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+7.65 Units / 46% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 39 of their last 67 games (+7.34 Units / 9% ROI)

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 80-70 against the Run Line (+2.5 Units / 1.24% ROI).

• 77-73 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.45 Units / 0.82% ROI
• 73-69 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.75 Units / -1.7% ROI
• 69-73 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.3 Units / -6.97% ROI

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Royals are 85-65 against the Run Line (+10.88 Units / 5.36% ROI).

• 82-68 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.25 Units / 5.47% ROI
• 66-78 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.3 Units / -11.85% ROI
• 78-66 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.75 Units / 2.88% ROI

Royals vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Royals vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Royals vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today

Royals vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Casey Mize has a strikeout rate of just 15% (26 SO in 172 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 59 total IP; League Avg: 24% — third Percentile.

Casey Mize has walked 6 of 167 batters (4%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 9th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 59 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 93rd Percentile.

Casey Mize has allowed an OBP of .430 (100 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 59 total IP; League Avg: .301 — first Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of 62% (146/235) against Casey Mize on inside fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 59 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 100th Percentile.

Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (42/240) against Seth Lugo on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — third Percentile.

Seth Lugo has walked 15 of 368 right-handed batters (4%) this season — 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 87th Percentile.

Seth Lugo has allowed an OBP of just .251 (366 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .289 — 90th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .260 (27-for-104) against Seth Lugo when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .334 — 98th Percentile.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

  
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