The Detroit Tigers (+125) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-150) on Sunday, September 11, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Kansas City.
The Royals are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Tigers vs Royals Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Tigers are 52-85 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 65-71 ATS.
Tigers vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Tigers vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Sunday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Victor Reyes has hit the Hits Over in his last 11 away games (+14.65 Units / 68% ROI)
- Harold Castro has hit the Runs Under in 24 of his last 29 away games (+13.10 Units / 21% ROI)
- Miguel Cabrera has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 11 away games (+12.55 Units / 85% ROI)
- Javier Baez has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 away games (+10.70 Units / 27% ROI)
- Miguel Cabrera has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 9 away games (+10.50 Units / 74% ROI)
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 28 games at home (+18.60 Units / 35% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Hits Under in 23 of his last 32 games (+12.55 Units / 20% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 28 games at home (+11.75 Units / 41% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Runs Under in 61 of his last 96 games (+11.75 Units / 8% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the RBIs Over in 19 of his last 31 games at home (+9.65 Units / 31% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Tigers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 49 of their last 85 games (+13.85 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in their last 9 away games (+9.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 46 away games (+8.05 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 11 away games (+6.60 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 away games (+6.20 Units / 56% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Royals: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 48 of their last 86 games (+13.85 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 33 games at home (+10.50 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 55 games at home (+8.00 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 38 of their last 70 games at home (+7.60 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 36 games at home (+6.95 Units / 18% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 62-74 against the Run Line (-22.6 Units / -13.14% ROI).
- 52-85 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.35 Units / -11.33% ROI
- 53-73 when betting on the total runs Over for -26.45 Units / -17.53% ROI
- 73-53 when betting on the total runs Under for +15.5 Units / 10.25% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 65-71 against the Run Line (-18.05 Units / -10.13% ROI).
- 56-81 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.75 Units / -8.76% ROI
- 69-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.1 Units / -0.73% ROI
- 64-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.55 Units / -8.26% ROI
Tyler Alexander: Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .325 (49-for-151) against Tyler Alexander’s changeup since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 149 total IP; League Avg: .238 — third Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 16% (70/445) against Tyler Alexander this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 68 total IP; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.
Tyler Alexander has struck out just 11% (25/230) of right-handed batters he faced this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 68 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .373 (44-for-118) against Tyler Alexander’s inside fastball since the start of last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 149 total IP; League Avg: .258 — third Percentile.
Brady Singer: Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hitters have swung at 61% of Brady Singer’s pitches in the zone (1,363/2,248) since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 149 total IP; League Avg: 67% — second Percentile.
Opponents batted .391 (9-for-23) against Brady Singer — 5th highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .231 — fifth Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 24% (124/523) against Brady Singer on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 68 total IP; League Avg: 31% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 23% (259/1,109) against Brady Singer on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 149 total IP; League Avg: 31% — second Percentile.