The Detroit Tigers (-105) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-115) on Saturday, September 10, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Kansas City.
The Tigers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Tigers vs Royals Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Tigers are 50-85 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 65-69 ATS.
Tigers vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Tigers vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Saturday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Victor Reyes has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 away games (+12.70 Units / 62% ROI)
- Miguel Cabrera has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 11 away games (+12.55 Units / 85% ROI)
- Harold Castro has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 28 away games (+12.10 Units / 20% ROI)
- Miguel Cabrera has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 9 away games (+10.50 Units / 74% ROI)
- Javier Baez has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 18 away games (+9.75 Units / 26% ROI)
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 26 games at home (+17.60 Units / 34% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Runs Under in 60 of his last 94 games (+12.10 Units / 9% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 30 games (+10.55 Units / 18% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 26 games at home (+9.75 Units / 37% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the RBIs Over in 18 of his last 29 games at home (+9.55 Units / 32% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Tigers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- team high – away
Positive Betting Trends for the Royals: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- team high – home
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 60-74 against the Run Line (-24.6 Units / -14.6% ROI).
- 50-85 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.55 Units / -13.04% ROI
- 51-73 when betting on the total runs Over for -28.45 Units / -19.15% ROI
- 73-51 when betting on the total runs Under for +17.6 Units / 11.8% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 65-69 against the Run Line (-16.05 Units / -9.11% ROI).
- 56-79 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.15 Units / -7.1% ROI
- 67-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.1 Units / -2.1% ROI
- 64-67 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.45 Units / -6.97% ROI
Matthew Manning: Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 56% (9/16) against Matt Manning against right-handed batters — 14th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 40% — 13th Percentile.
Matt Manning has allowed an OBP of .429 (21 PA’s) this month (1 games) — 15th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: .301 — ninth Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of 43% (9/21) against Matt Manning on the first pitch of at-bats this month (1 games) — tied for 12th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 91st Percentile.
Jonathan Heasley: Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jon Heasley has a strike rate of just 57% (401/707) vs left-handed batters this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 64% — third Percentile.
Jon Heasley has a strikeout rate of just 7% (2 SO in 30 PAs) this month (1 games) — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Jon Heasley has struck out just 10% (2/21) of left-handed batters he faced this month (1 games) — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 10th Percentile.
Jon Heasley has allowed a slugging percentage of .600 (36 Total Bases / 60 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: .370 — third Percentile.