The AL Central is highlighted on Thursday's MLB schedule as the Detroit Tigers (43-52) and Kansas City Royals (28-69) meet for the finale of their four-game series.
- Tigers vs Royals Game Info
- Tigers vs Royals Betting Trends
- Tigers vs Royals Prediction & Pick
- Tigers vs Royals Best Bet
Tigers vs Royals Game Info
- Date:'Thursday, July 20, 2023
- Time:'2:10 p.m. ET
- Venue:'Kauffman Stadium — Kansas City, Missouri
- Coverage:'MLB.TV
These rivals have gone back and forth to begin this series, most resulting in Wednesday's 3-2 win for the Tigers. Detroit center fielder Riley Greene led both sides with three hits while Eduardo Rodriguez struck out seven batters while allowing two earned runs for his sixth win of the campaign.
- Moneyline:'DET: (-138) | KC: (+118)
- Spread:'DET: -1.5 (+116) | KC: +1.5 (-140)
- Total:'9 — Over: (-118) | Under: (-104)
The Tigers enter this contest as road favorites on the moneyline and spread per FanDuel Sportsbook's odds. This 2:10 p.m. ET clash also features an over /under of 9 runs with the Over being favored at -118 odds.
Tigers vs Royals Betting Trends
- Detroit is 6-2 straight up (SU) in its last eight road games.
- Kansas City is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games against Detroit.
- The total has hit the Under in four of Detroit's last six games against the AL Central.
- The total has hit the Under in eight of Kansas City's last 11 games.
Tigers vs Royals Prediction & Pick
Even though this series has been relatively close, don't count on the home team getting another win. After all, the Royals have rarely beaten a team twice in the same series, doing so just once since May 19 – a span of 51 games.
It also doesn't help that the Royals are at a disadvantage when it comes to pitching. Starter Zack Greinke has been allergic to victory, going 1-9 with a 5.44 ERA in 18 previous starts. He hasn't won a start since May 3 and has allowed six-plus runs in two of his latest three appearances.
Meanwhile, Michael Lorenzen has been a consistent mound presence for the Tigers. Not only is he 2-2 with a 2.60 ERA in his previous five starts, but Lorenzen also hasn't allowed a single run in his two appearances (11 2/3 innings).
The Tigers shouldn't have an excuse not to win today. On top of the pitching advantage being on their side, they're 9-3 SU in their last 12 meetings with the Royals for a reason. Kansas City is one of the MLB's worst clubs and Greinke starting only makes it more difficult to win.
After two wins in three days, look for the Tigers to add another W to their record.
Final Score Prediction:'Tigers: 5 | Royals: 2
Tigers vs Royals Best Bet
Even with this game being at Kauffman Stadium I like the Tigers covering the spread today. For starters, the Royals are just 13-22 against the spread (ATS) against AL clubs at home this season. At the same time, the Tigers are 27-23 ATS overall on the road.
Additionally, the Royals have been outscored by an average of seven runs in Greinke's last nine starts, losing by a multi-run margin six times. If the veteran arm doesn't get off to a strong start, Detroit won't struggle to create a notable deficit.
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