The Detroit Tigers (+130) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-155) on Saturday, July 6, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Cincinnati, OH.

This season, the Tigers are 40-48 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 50-38 ATS.

Tigers vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:

• Tigers starting pitcher: Undecided 0-0, 0.00 ERA
• Reds starting pitcher: Hunter Greene 5-4, 3.70 ERA

Tigers vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Tigers vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 54.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:

• Matt Vierling has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 26 games (+22.00 Units / 85% ROI)
• Matt Vierling has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+14.45 Units / 41% ROI)
• Riley Greene has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+13.15 Units / 41% ROI)
• Gio Urshela has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+12.60 Units / 34% ROI)
• Matt Vierling has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+11.95 Units / 56% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Elly De La Cruz has hit the Hits Under in 28 of his last 47 games (+18.60 Units / 35% ROI)
• Jeimer Candelario has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 28 games (+16.60 Units / 59% ROI)
• Jeimer Candelario has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 41 games (+11.60 Units / 23% ROI)
• Will Benson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+11.25 Units / 74% ROI)
• Jonathan India has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 30 games (+9.30 Units / 28% ROI)

Tigers Best Bets Today:

• The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 41 of their last 71 games (+11.05 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 24 away games (+9.25 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 24 away games (+6.55 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+3.40 Units / 50% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+3.35 Units / 50% ROI)

Reds Best Bets Today:

• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 29 games at home (+14.30 Units / 42% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 42 of their last 72 games (+13.20 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 42 of their last 70 games (+11.95 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 27 of their last 41 games at home (+10.05 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 38 games (+8.55 Units / 20% ROI)

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 39-49 against the Run Line (-16.15 Units / -13.58% ROI).

• 40-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.5 Units / -11.3% ROI
• 46-35 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.15 Units / 7.63% ROI
• 35-46 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.6 Units / -16.7% ROI

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are 50-38 against the Run Line (+8.1 Units / 6.91% ROI).

• 42-46 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.7 Units / -2.65% ROI
• 38-46 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.3 Units / -13.7% ROI
• 46-38 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.85 Units / 3.98% ROI

Reds vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Reds vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Reds vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today

Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Hitters have chased just 47 of Casey Mize’s 257 breaking balls out of the zone (chase rate of 18%) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: 31% — second Percentile.

Hitters have chased just 36 of Casey Mize’s 192 breaking balls down out of the zone (chase rate of 19%) this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 15% (40/266) against Casey Mize this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.

Casey Mize has a strike rate of just 59% (284/480) in two strike counts this season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: 65% — third Percentile.

Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting just .128 (5-for-39) against Hunter Greene on low fastballs this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .259 — 100th Percentile.

Hunter Greene has walked 20 of 153 batters (13%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — fifth Percentile.

Hunter Greene has walked 14 of 101 batters (14%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .457 (63-for-138) against Hunter Greene on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 163 total IP; League Avg: .342 — first Percentile.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

  
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