The Detroit Tigers (+185) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-225) on Thursday, March 30, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 3:10pm EDT in St. Petersburg.
The Rays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).
The Tigers vs Rays Over/Under is 6.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Tigers are 11-11 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 13-10 ATS.
Tigers vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Tigers vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Thursday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Rays and up-to-date player injuries.
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Rays vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Vierling | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Jonathan Schoop | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Eric Haase | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Austin Meadows | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
Rays vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Vierling | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jonathan Schoop | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +105 |
| Eric Haase | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +110 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
| Austin Meadows | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +120 |
Rays vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Vierling | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -400 |
| Jonathan Schoop | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -400 |
| Eric Haase | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Austin Meadows | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
Rays vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eduardo Rodriguez | 3.5 -150 | 3.5 +105 |
| Shane McClanahan | 6.5 -105 | 6.5 -125 |
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 84 of their last 159 games (+18.10 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 25 away games (+14.80 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 22 away games (+11.80 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 37 away games (+11.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 57 away games (+11.30 Units / 18% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 61 games at home (+13.30 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 53 games (+11.85 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 28 games (+11.60 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 34 games (+7.45 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 35 of their last 61 games (+7.25 Units / 9% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 8-15 against the Run Line (-7.4 Units / -27.46% ROI).
- 11-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.2 Units / 0.74% ROI
- 14-8 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.25 Units / 20.87% ROI
- 8-14 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.75 Units / -30.27% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 13-10 against the Run Line (+2.15 Units / 7.29% ROI).
- 9-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.65 Units / -17.22% ROI
- 12-11 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.25 Units / 0.99% ROI
- 11-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.95 Units / -7.68% ROI
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of just 13% (17/128) against Eduardo Rodriguez on the first pitch of at-bats last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents had a line drive rate of just 13% (8/63) versus Eduardo Rodriguez on changeups last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents batted just .197 (12-for-61) against Eduardo Rodriguez on low fastballs last season — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .277 — 95th Percentile.
Eduardo Rodriguez has walked 48 of 393 batters (12%) versus the 2-3-4 hitters since the start of the 2021 season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 8% — fourth Percentile.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Shane McClanahan allowed an OBP of just .246 (639 PA’s) last season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .288 — 97th Percentile.
Opponents had a miss rate of 34% (418/1,220) against Shane McClanahan last season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 97th Percentile.
Right-handed batters batted just .192 (97-for-504) against Shane McClanahan last season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — 91st Percentile.