The Detroit Tigers (+105) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-125) on Tuesday, April 9, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 12:35pm EDT in Pittsburgh, PA.

This season, the Tigers are 6-4 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 9-2 ATS.

Tigers vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:

• Tigers starting pitcher: Casey Mize 0-0, 6.24 ERA
• Pirates starting pitcher: Martin Perez 1-0, 2.46 ERA

Tigers vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Tigers vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:

• Tarik Skubal has hit the Strikeouts Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+9.60 Units / 48% ROI)
• Tarik Skubal has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+8.45 Units / 63% ROI)
• Mark Canha has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 13 away games (+7.65 Units / 44% ROI)
• Parker Meadows has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.50 Units / 72% ROI)
• Parker Meadows has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+7.15 Units / 99% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Edward Olivares has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+9.90 Units / 31% ROI)
• Mitch Keller has hit the Earned Runs Under in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+8.70 Units / 41% ROI)
• Henry Davis has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+8.35 Units / 65% ROI)
• Henry Davis has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 11 games at home (+8.10 Units / 44% ROI)
• Edward Olivares has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+8.00 Units / 50% ROI)

Tigers Best Bets Today:

• The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 48 away games (+18.75 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 48 away games (+16.70 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 45 of their last 74 away games (+15.97 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 48 away games (+12.79 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 29 games (+11.80 Units / 35% ROI)

Pirates Best Bets Today:

• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 67 games (+15.85 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 69 of their last 120 games (+15.10 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 76 of their last 134 games (+11.44 Units / 7% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 65 games (+10.67 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 63 games (+10.50 Units / 13% ROI)

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 3-7 against the Run Line (-5.05 Units / -37% ROI).

• 6-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.65 Units / 4.55% ROI
• 5-5 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.55 Units / -5% ROI
• 5-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.55 Units / -5% ROI

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 9-2 against the Run Line (+8.6 Units / 58.11% ROI).

• 9-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.25 Units / 58.94% ROI
• 8-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.7 Units / 38.84% ROI
• 3-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.8 Units / -47.93% ROI

Pirates vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Pirates vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Casey Mize has not allowed a walk in his last 77 PAs against a RHH dating back to August 24th, 2021 — Ryan Borucki has the longest active streak at 102.

Casey Mize has thrown inside pitches 48% of the time (12/25) with runners in scoring position this season — tied for 12th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 90th Percentile.

Casey Mize has thrown off-speed pitches 68% of the time (17/25) with runners in scoring position this season — 15th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total NonFB; League Avg: 49% — 87th Percentile.

Casey Mize has thrown off-speed pitches 61% of the time (53/87) this season — tied for 13th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total NonFB; League Avg: 45% — 92nd Percentile.

Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Martin Perez has located his fastball inside 65% of the time (37/57) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 35% — 100th Percentile.

Martin Perez has struck out just 9% (3/34) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — fourth Percentile.

Martin Perez’s has 5 strikeouts and no walks vs left-handed batters this season — tied for best K:BB ratio among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 2.9 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents had a two strike miss rate of just 14% (46/331) against Martin Perez in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 0 Percentile.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates

  
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