The Detroit Tigers (+105) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-125) on Monday, April 8, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Pittsburgh, PA.

This season, the Tigers are 6-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 8-2 ATS.

Tigers vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:

• Tigers starting pitcher: Reese Olson 0-0, 0.00 ERA
• Pirates starting pitcher: Mitch Keller 0-1, 6.36 ERA

Tigers vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Tigers vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Monday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:

• Tarik Skubal has hit the Strikeouts Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+9.60 Units / 48% ROI)
• Tarik Skubal has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+8.45 Units / 63% ROI)
• Andy Ibanez has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 23 games (+8.20 Units / 17% ROI)
• Mark Canha has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 13 away games (+7.65 Units / 44% ROI)
• Reese Olson has hit the Earned Runs Under in his last 7 games (+7.35 Units / 71% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Edward Olivares has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+9.90 Units / 31% ROI)
• Henry Davis has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+8.35 Units / 65% ROI)
• Henry Davis has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 11 games at home (+8.10 Units / 44% ROI)
• Edward Olivares has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+8.00 Units / 50% ROI)
• Mitch Keller has hit the Earned Runs Under in 11 of his last 14 games at home (+7.70 Units / 39% ROI)

Tigers Best Bets Today:

• The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 48 away games (+18.75 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 48 away games (+16.70 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 45 of their last 74 away games (+15.97 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 48 away games (+12.79 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 29 games (+11.80 Units / 35% ROI)

Pirates Best Bets Today:

• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 67 games (+15.85 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 69 of their last 120 games (+15.10 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 76 of their last 134 games (+11.44 Units / 7% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 65 games (+10.67 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 63 games (+10.50 Units / 13% ROI)

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 3-6 against the Run Line (-3.15 Units / -26.81% ROI).

• 6-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.65 Units / 12.41% ROI
• 4-5 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.55 Units / -15.58% ROI
• 5-4 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.6 Units / 6.09% ROI

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 8-2 against the Run Line (+6.95 Units / 50.36% ROI).

• 8-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.25 Units / 56.82% ROI
• 7-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.7 Units / 33.48% ROI
• 3-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.65 Units / -42.47% ROI

Pirates vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Pirates vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

68% of Reese Olson’s called strikeouts were outside in the 2023 season — 13th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 93rd Percentile.

Reese Olson allowed a slugging percentage of just .308 (32 Total Bases / 104 ABs) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2023 season — 9th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .434 — 94th Percentile.

Opposing hitters had a chase rate of 33% (51/154) against Reese Olson when he was behind in the count in the 2023 season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 96th Percentile.

Opponents had a Hard-Hit Rate of 44% (31/70) against Reese Olson on low non-fastballs in the 2023 season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 33% — fourth Percentile.

Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Left-handed hitters have a chase rate of 42% (18/43) against Mitch Keller this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 97th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .319 (15-for-47) against Mitch Keller this season — tied for 9th highest among in NL; League Avg: .255 — 18th Percentile.

Mitch Keller has a strike rate of 71% (66/93) vs left-handed batters this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — 94th Percentile.

Mitch Keller has allowed a slugging percentage of .667 (20 Total Bases / 30 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — tied for 9th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .392 — 12th Percentile.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates

  
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