The Detroit Tigers (+145) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-175) on Friday, April 21, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Baltimore.

The Orioles are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).

The Tigers vs Orioles Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

This season, the Tigers are 7-10 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 10-8 ATS.

Tigers vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Tigers vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:

• Javier Baez has hit the Hits Over in his last 6 games (+7.95 Units / 67% ROI)
• Matt Vierling has hit the Runs Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.65 Units / 34% ROI)
• Matt Vierling has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.05 Units / 60% ROI)
• Riley Greene has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 14 games (+7.05 Units / 50% ROI)
• Austin Meadows has hit the Runs Under in his last 7 away games (+7.00 Units / 45% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Cedric Mullins has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.75 Units / 44% ROI)
• Adley Rutschman has hit the Hits Over in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 42% ROI)
• Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.25 Units / 31% ROI)
• Anthony Santander has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+6.25 Units / 27% ROI)
• Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+6.05 Units / 45% ROI)

Tigers Best Bets Today:

• The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in their last 7 games (+7.25 Units / 81% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+5.80 Units / 97% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.50 Units / 64% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 9 away games (+5.25 Units / 52% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.90 Units / 38% ROI)

Orioles Best Bets Today:

• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.50 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 18 games (+4.35 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 18 games (+2.90 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.35 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.45 Units / 8% ROI)

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 9-8 against the Run Line (-0.55 Units / -2.63% ROI).

• 7-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.2 Units / 7.06% ROI
• 9-8 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.25 Units / 1.33% ROI
• 8-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.8 Units / -9.68% ROI

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 10-8 against the Run Line (+0.3 Units / 1.25% ROI).

• 11-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.55 Units / 15.11% ROI
• 11-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.35 Units / 21.43% ROI
• 6-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.65 Units / -28.97% ROI

Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Michael Lorenzen has a strike rate of just 62% (244/393) when he’s behind in the count since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: 69% — second Percentile.

Michael Lorenzen has at least 6 strikeouts in each of his last five games — tied with Julio Urias and Pablo Lopez for the longest active streak among active MLB players.

Michael Lorenzen has walked 46 of 433 batters (11%) since last season — tied for 10th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: 7% — sixth Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 20% (58/292) against Michael Lorenzen since last season — 11th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 94th Percentile.

Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting just .177 (11-for-62) against Tyler Wells on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: .339 — 100th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 14% (22/153) against Tyler Wells since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .180 (16-for-89) against Tyler Wells on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2021 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: .340 — 100th Percentile.

  
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