The Detroit Tigers (+110) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-130) on Thursday, April 4, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 12:10pm EDT in Flushing, NY.
This season, the Tigers are 4-0 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 0-4 ATS.
Tigers vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:
- Tigers starting pitcher: Casey Mize 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Mets starting pitcher: Adrian Houser 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Tigers vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Tigers vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 51.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Andy Ibanez has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 21 games (+8.80 Units / 20% ROI)
- Tarik Skubal has hit the Strikeouts Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+8.50 Units / 45% ROI)
- Reese Olson has hit the Earned Runs Under in his last 7 games (+7.35 Units / 71% ROI)
- Tarik Skubal has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.00 Units / 56% ROI)
- Mark Canha has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 12 away games (+6.30 Units / 38% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Luis Guillorme has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.85 Units / 43% ROI)
- Luis Guillorme has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 20 games (+9.75 Units / 46% ROI)
- DJ Stewart has hit the Hits Under in his last 9 games at home (+9.25 Units / 88% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+9.15 Units / 23% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+8.30 Units / 14% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 48 away games (+18.75 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 48 away games (+16.70 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 45 of their last 74 away games (+15.97 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 48 away games (+12.79 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 29 games (+11.80 Units / 35% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 47 of their last 78 games at home (+18.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 51 games (+15.55 Units / 24% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+4.95 Units / 25% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 1-3 against the Run Line (-2 Units / -41.67% ROI).
- 4-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.2 Units / 80% ROI
- 1-3 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.35 Units / -52.81% ROI
- 3-1 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.9 Units / 43.68% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 0-4 against the Run Line (-4 Units / -100% ROI).
- 0-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.25 Units / -100% ROI
- 1-3 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.1 Units / -50% ROI
- 3-1 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.9 Units / 41.3% ROI
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Casey Mize has not allowed a walk in his last 68 PAs against a RHH dating back to August 24th, 2021 — Ryan Borucki has the longest active streak at 99.
Matt Manning allowed a BABIP of .216 in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .295 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 15% (21/140) against Matt Manning on non-fastballs since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 66 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 19% (45/239) against Matt Manning since last season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 66 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 97th Percentile.
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Adrian Houser has thrown fastballs 77% of the time (290/375) with runners in scoring position since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 66 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Adrian Houser has thrown fastballs 74% of the time (401/544) with two-strikes since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 66 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a Hard-Hit Rate of 63% (39/62) against Adrian Houser when going through the lineup the third time in a game in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 0 Percentile.
Adrian Houser threw fastballs 77% of the time (290/375) with runners in scoring position in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.