Tigers vs Mets Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 2
Tigers vs Mets Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 2

The Detroit Tigers (+110) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-130) on Tuesday, April 2, 2024. First pitch is for this MLB matchup is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Flushing, NY.

This season, the Tigers are 4-0 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 0-4 ATS.

Tigers vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Tigers starting pitcher: Casey Mize 0-0, 0.00 ERA
  • Mets starting pitcher: Adrian Houser 0-0, 0.00 ERA

Tigers vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Tigers vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Andy Ibanez has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 21 games (+8.80 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Tarik Skubal has hit the Strikeouts Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+8.50 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Reese Olson has hit the Earned Runs Under in his last 7 games (+7.35 Units / 71% ROI)
  • Tarik Skubal has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.00 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Mark Canha has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 12 away games (+6.30 Units / 38% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Luis Guillorme has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.85 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Luis Guillorme has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 20 games (+9.75 Units / 46% ROI)
  • DJ Stewart has hit the Hits Under in his last 9 games at home (+9.25 Units / 88% ROI)
  • Francisco Lindor has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+9.15 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Francisco Lindor has hit the RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+8.30 Units / 14% ROI)

  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 48 away games (+18.75 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 78 away games (+16.75 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 47 of their last 78 away games (+16.52 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 48 away games (+12.79 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 29 games (+11.80 Units / 35% ROI)

  • The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 47 of their last 78 games at home (+18.35 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 51 games (+15.55 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+4.95 Units / 25% ROI)

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 1-3 against the Run Line (-2 Units / -41.67% ROI).

  • 4-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.2 Units / 80% ROI
  • 1-3 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.35 Units / -52.81% ROI
  • 3-1 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.9 Units / 43.68% ROI

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 0-4 against the Run Line (-4 Units / -100% ROI).

  • 0-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.25 Units / -100% ROI
  • 1-3 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.1 Units / -50% ROI
  • 3-1 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.9 Units / 41.3% ROI

Mets vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Urshela 0.5 +1250 0.5 -3000
Baez 0.5 +950 0.5 -2000
Marte 0.5 +825 0.5 -1400
Greene 0.5 +600 0.5 -900
Lindor 0.5 +375 0.5 -550

Mets vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Urshela 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Baez 0.5 -155 0.5 +115
Marte 0.5 -210 0.5 +160
Greene 0.5 -210 0.5 +160
Lindor 0.5 -250 0.5 +190

Mets vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Urshela 0.5 +240 0.5 -350
Baez 0.5 +260 0.5 -350
Marte 0.5 +210 0.5 -300
Greene 0.5 +200 0.5 -275
Lindor 0.5 +150 0.5 -200

Casey Mize has not allowed a walk in his last 68 PAs against a RHH dating back to August 24th, 2021 — Ryan Borucki has the longest active streak at 99.

Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Adrian Houser threw fastballs 77% of the time (290/375) with runners in scoring position in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents had a line drive rate of just 13% (10/77) versus Adrian Houser with runners in scoring position in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents had a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 63% (39/62) against Adrian Houser when going through the lineup the third time in a game in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 0 Percentile.

Adrian Houser threw fastballs 73% of the time (720/980) against right-handed batters in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 100th Percentile.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

  
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