The Detroit Tigers (+200) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-250) on Monday, October 3, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Seattle.
The Mariners are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-115).
The Tigers vs Mariners Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Tigers are 65-93 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 82-76 ATS.
Tigers vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Tigers vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Monday‘s matchup with 61.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Miguel Cabrera has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+13.90 Units / 74% ROI)
- Miguel Cabrera has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 13 away games (+11.85 Units / 55% ROI)
- Miguel Cabrera has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 16 away games (+10.20 Units / 29% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 35 games (+10.05 Units / 14% ROI)
- Javier Baez has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 27 away games (+9.85 Units / 18% ROI)
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+13.10 Units / 35% ROI)
- Luis Castillo has hit the Strikeouts Over in 16 of his last 22 games (+10.05 Units / 37% ROI)
- Luis Castillo has hit the Pitching Outs Under in his last 9 games (+9.50 Units / 78% ROI)
- Jesse Winker has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 27 games at home (+9.20 Units / 25% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.90 Units / 40% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Tigers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 84 of their last 155 games (+21.20 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 away games (+12.60 Units / 70% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 21 away games (+10.75 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 53 away games (+9.10 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 55 of their last 104 games (+8.70 Units / 8% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Mariners: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 39 of their last 59 games at home (+20.55 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 58 of their last 90 games (+13.95 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 35 of their last 56 games at home (+12.30 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 34 of their last 56 games at home (+12.05 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 28 of their last 49 games (+6.50 Units / 11% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 76-82 against the Run Line (-17.5 Units / -8.75% ROI).
- 65-93 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.55 Units / -3.94% ROI
- 60-85 when betting on the total runs Over for -33.2 Units / -18.97% ROI
- 85-60 when betting on the total runs Under for +20.05 Units / 11.57% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 82-76 against the Run Line (-5.35 Units / -2.57% ROI).
- 87-71 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.75 Units / 1.8% ROI
- 72-79 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.6 Units / -7.84% ROI
- 79-72 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.45 Units / 0.26% ROI
Bryan Garcia: Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
George Kirby: Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .329 (52-for-158) against George Kirby’s curve and slider this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 79 total IP; League Avg: .222 — 0 Percentile.
George Kirby has allowed a .477 SLG vs right-handed batters (15th worst)– 11th Percentile and just .306 vs left-handed batters this season (10th best among non-qualified SPs)– 90th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .375 (63 GB hits out of 168 GBs) against George Kirby this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 79 total IP; League Avg: .232 — 0 Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting .318 (76-for-239) against George Kirby this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 79 total IP; League Avg: .250 — second Percentile.