The Detroit Tigers (-125) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (+105) on Monday, October 7, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:08pm EDT in Cleveland, OH.
This season, the Tigers are 88-77 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 83-79 ATS.
Tigers vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:
- Tigers starting pitcher: Tarik Skubal 19-4, 2.33 ERA
- Guardians starting pitcher: Matthew Boyd 2-2, 2.70 ERA
Tigers vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Tigers vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Monday‘s MLB game with 57.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Parker Meadows has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 25 games (+17.70 Units / 71% ROI)
- Parker Meadows has hit the Singles Over in 29 of his last 48 games (+17.50 Units / 35% ROI)
- Parker Meadows has hit the Hits Over in 35 of his last 48 games (+14.80 Units / 18% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 19 away games (+13.45 Units / 53% ROI)
- Tarik Skubal has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+9.35 Units / 45% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Lane Thomas has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 23 games (+29.30 Units / 127% ROI)
- Bo Naylor has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 10 of his last 11 games at home (+10.50 Units / 87% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Runs Under in 29 of his last 41 games (+9.80 Units / 14% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 22 games at home (+9.75 Units / 19% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 21 games (+8.70 Units / 27% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 51 of their last 78 games (+21.85 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 50 of their last 80 games (+20.65 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 53 games (+14.30 Units / 24% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 43 of their last 70 games (+18.70 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 77 games at home (+12.95 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 93 of their last 162 games (+11.70 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.60 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+1.10 Units / 20% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 89-76 against the Run Line (+4.7 Units / 2.11% ROI).
- 88-77 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.35 Units / 3.17% ROI
- 78-80 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.75 Units / -5.39% ROI
- 80-78 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.9 Units / -3.24% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 83-79 against the Run Line (+7.55 Units / 3.72% ROI).
- 93-69 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.7 Units / 5.55% ROI
- 69-82 when betting on the total runs Over for -21.45 Units / -12.01% ROI
- 82-69 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.05 Units / 3.4% ROI
Guardians vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) |
0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) |
0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Jhonkensy Noel (CLE) |
0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Riley Greene (DET) |
0.5 +700 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Jake Rogers (DET) |
0.5 +700 | 0.5 -1100 |
Guardians vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Steven Kwan (CLE) |
0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Matt Vierling (DET) |
0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) |
0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Lane Thomas (CLE) |
0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Riley Greene (DET) |
0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
Guardians vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) |
0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Riley Greene (DET) |
0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) |
0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| David Fry (CLE) |
0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Wenceel Perez (DET) |
0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
Guardians vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tarik Skubal (DET) |
5.5 -145 | 5.5 +110 |
| Matthew Boyd (CLE) |
4.5 -145 | 4.5 +110 |
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tarik Skubal has allowed an OBP of just .156 (627 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: .243 — 100th Percentile.
Tarik Skubal has allowed an OBP of just .159 (441 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — 100th Percentile.
Tarik Skubal has allowed an OBP of just .227 (128 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .309 — 98th Percentile.
Tarik Skubal has allowed an OPS of just .558 (753 PA’s) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .686 — 100th Percentile.
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Matthew Boyd has not allowed a hit to any of the last 26 batters he’s faced after reaching two strikes. — Beau Brieske has the longest active streak at 43.