The Detroit Tigers (+125) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-150) on Saturday, October 5, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:08pm EDT in Cleveland, OH.
This season, the Tigers are 0-0 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 0-0 ATS.
Tigers vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:
- Tigers starting pitcher: Undecided 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Guardians starting pitcher: Tanner Bibee 12-8, 3.50 ERA
Tigers vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Tigers vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 54.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Parker Meadows has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 24 games (+18.70 Units / 78% ROI)
- Parker Meadows has hit the Singles Over in 28 of his last 47 games (+16.25 Units / 33% ROI)
- Parker Meadows has hit the Hits Over in 34 of his last 47 games (+13.80 Units / 17% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 18 away games (+12.45 Units / 51% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 21 away games (+9.80 Units / 46% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Lane Thomas has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 22 games (+22.60 Units / 103% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Hits Under in 24 of his last 44 games (+10.40 Units / 17% ROI)
- Bo Naylor has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- Bo Naylor has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+9.50 Units / 86% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the RBIs Under in 22 of his last 29 games (+8.65 Units / 16% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 51 of their last 77 games (+23.75 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 50 of their last 79 games (+21.65 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 52 games (+14.30 Units / 25% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 43 of their last 69 games (+18.70 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 92 of their last 161 games (+10.70 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 37 of their last 75 games at home (+10.30 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.60 Units / 40% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Guardians vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) |
0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) |
0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Riley Greene (DET) |
0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) |
0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Parker Meadows (DET) |
0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1100 |
Guardians vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Steven Kwan (CLE) |
0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) |
0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Andres Gimenez (CLE) |
0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) |
0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Lane Thomas (CLE) |
0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Guardians vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) |
0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) |
0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Lane Thomas (CLE) |
0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Riley Greene (DET) |
0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Colt Keith (DET) |
0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
Guardians vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tanner Bibee (CLE) |
5.5 -150 | 5.5 +115 |
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tyler Holton has allowed an OBP of just .195 (267 PA’s) vs left-handed batters since last season — best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .312 — 100th Percentile.
Tyler Holton has allowed an OBP of just .227 (675 PA’s) since last season — best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .309 — 100th Percentile.
Tyler Holton has allowed an OPS of just .410 (280 PA’s) vs left-handed batters since the 2022 season — best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .675 — 100th Percentile.
Tyler Holton has allowed an OBP of just .230 (714 PA’s) since the 2022 season — 2nd best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .303 — 99th Percentile.
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
The average home run distance against Tanner Bibee since last season is 383.8 feet — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 398.5
Tanner Bibee allowed a batting average of .302 versus the top of the order (fifth worst)– eighth Percentile and just .181 versus the bottom of the order this season (sixth best among qualified SPs)– 90th Percentile.
The average home run distance against Tanner Bibee in the 2023 season was 379.5 feet — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 399.3
Opponents are hitting .398 (35-for-88) against Tanner Bibee on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 6th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .330 — 11th Percentile.