The Detroit Tigers (+150) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-185) on Thursday, July 25, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Cleveland, OH.
This season, the Tigers are 50-53 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 49-52 ATS.
Tigers vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:
- Tigers starting pitcher: Undecided 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Guardians starting pitcher: Gavin Williams 0-2, 4.50 ERA
Tigers vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Tigers vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 58.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Colt Keith has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 45 games (+25.90 Units / 58% ROI)
- Gio Urshela has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 21 of his last 27 games (+15.60 Units / 54% ROI)
- Gio Urshela has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 27 games (+12.55 Units / 46% ROI)
- Gio Urshela has hit the Runs Under in 25 of his last 31 games (+12.15 Units / 18% ROI)
- Gio Urshela has hit the Hits Under in 22 of his last 31 games (+11.80 Units / 19% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Steven Kwan has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 17 games at home (+58.50 Units / 344% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 24 games (+12.95 Units / 29% ROI)
- Daniel Schneemann has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+12.25 Units / 33% ROI)
- Will Brennan has hit the Hits Under in his last 6 games (+9.95 Units / 166% ROI)
- Josh Naylor has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.45 Units / 43% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 16 games (+15.20 Units / 65% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 50 of their last 86 games (+13.40 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.15 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games (+7.35 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games (+7.00 Units / 29% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 42 games at home (+14.70 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 42 games at home (+10.60 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 58 of their last 101 games (+10.10 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 42 games at home (+7.60 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 46 games at home (+7.35 Units / 14% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 53-50 against the Run Line (-1.95 Units / -1.39% ROI).
- 50-53 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.8 Units / -4.9% ROI
- 55-41 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.5 Units / 8.63% ROI
- 41-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -19.7 Units / -17.9% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 49-52 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 61-40 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.67 Units / 10.34% ROI
- 49-46 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.75 Units / -1.57% ROI
- 46-49 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.75 Units / -7.01% ROI
Guardians vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Matt Vierling (DET) | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -1100 |
Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -1100 |
Justyn-Henry Malloy (DET) | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -1400 |
Jake Rogers (DET) | 0.5 +875 | 0.5 -1600 |
Colt Keith (DET) | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -2000 |
Guardians vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Colt Keith (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Gio Urshela (DET) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Matt Vierling (DET) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
Mark Canha (DET) | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
Guardians vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Gio Urshela (DET) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
Mark Canha (DET) | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
Matt Vierling (DET) | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
Javier Baez (DET) | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
Guardians vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Gavin Williams (CLE) | 5.5 -105 | 5.5 -125 |
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .353 (18-for-51) against Reese Olson’s elevated fastball this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .209 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .174 (12-for-69) against Reese Olson on low fastballs this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .261 — 96th Percentile.
Reese Olson has thrown low pitches 65% of the time (610/939) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 52% (156/299) against Reese Olson this season — 7th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 92nd Percentile.
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Gavin Williams has not allowed a HR in any of his last five starts dating back to September 17th, 2023 — the longest active streak is 13.
Gavin Williams has a strikeout rate of just 33% (14 SO in 43 PAs) with two-strikes this month (4 games) — 4th lowest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 44% — eighth Percentile.
Gavin Williams has not allowed a home run in any of the last 30.0 innings he’s appeared — Joe Mantiply has the longest active streak at 68.1.
Gavin Williams has a strikeout rate of just 14% (5 SO in 36 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (4 games) — tied for 3rd lowest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 22% — 13th Percentile.