The Detroit Tigers (+120) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-140) on Wednesday, July 24, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Cleveland, OH.
This season, the Tigers are 50-52 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 49-51 ATS.
Tigers vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:
- Tigers starting pitcher: Jack Flaherty 7-5, 3.16 ERA
- Guardians starting pitcher: Tanner Bibee 8-4, 3.61 ERA
Tigers vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Tigers vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 55.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Colt Keith has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 44 games (+26.90 Units / 61% ROI)
- Gio Urshela has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 26 games (+14.60 Units / 52% ROI)
- Gio Urshela has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 26 games (+11.50 Units / 44% ROI)
- Gio Urshela has hit the Runs Under in 24 of his last 30 games (+11.15 Units / 17% ROI)
- Jack Flaherty has hit the Strikeouts Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.95 Units / 54% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Steven Kwan has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 16 games at home (+59.50 Units / 372% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+11.95 Units / 29% ROI)
- Daniel Schneemann has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 24 games (+11.25 Units / 32% ROI)
- Josh Naylor has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 23 games at home (+10.80 Units / 33% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 23 games (+10.15 Units / 39% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 50 of their last 85 games (+14.40 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 15 games (+14.20 Units / 66% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.30 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+8.35 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+8.00 Units / 35% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 41 games at home (+13.70 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 41 games at home (+11.85 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 58 of their last 100 games (+11.40 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 41 games at home (+8.60 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 45 games at home (+8.35 Units / 17% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 52-50 against the Run Line (-2.95 Units / -2.13% ROI).
- 50-52 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.8 Units / -4.09% ROI
- 55-40 when betting on the total runs Over for +10.5 Units / 9.62% ROI
- 40-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -20.7 Units / -19.02% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 49-51 against the Run Line (+1 Units / 0.83% ROI).
- 60-40 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.67 Units / 9.68% ROI
- 49-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.75 Units / -0.68% ROI
- 45-49 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.75 Units / -8% ROI
Guardians vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Matt Vierling (DET) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Carson Kelly (DET) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Justyn-Henry Malloy (DET) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Colt Keith (DET) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
Guardians vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Gio Urshela (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Mark Canha (DET) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Carson Kelly (DET) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Wenceel Perez (DET) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
Guardians vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
Matt Vierling (DET) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Carson Kelly (DET) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Colt Keith (DET) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Mark Canha (DET) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Guardians vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Xzavion Curry (CLE) | 3.5 +125 | 3.5 -160 |
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jack Flaherty has allowed an OBP of just .056 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — best among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .300 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 33% (249/745) against Jack Flaherty this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Jack Flaherty has walked 17 of 392 batters (4%) this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 93rd Percentile.
Jack Flaherty has walked 3 of 153 batters (2%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 98th Percentile.
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tanner Bibee has walked 4 of 20 right-handed batters (20%) over the last 14 days — highest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.
Tanner Bibee has a strikeout rate of 34% (61 SO in 180 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .128 (32-for-250) against Tanner Bibee with two-strikes this season — 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .163 — 89th Percentile.
The average home run distance against Tanner Bibee since the 2022 season is 383.5 feet — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 163 total IP; League Avg: 398.3