Tigers vs Guardians Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul. 23
Tigers vs Guardians Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul. 23

The Detroit Tigers (-120) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (+100) on Tuesday, July 23, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Cleveland, OH.

This season, the Tigers are 50-51 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 49-50 ATS.

Tigers vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Tigers starting pitcher: Undecided 0-0, 0.00 ERA
  • Guardians starting pitcher: Xzavion Curry 0-2, 5.10 ERA

Tigers vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Tigers vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 54.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Matt Vierling has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 26 games (+22.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Matt Vierling has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+14.45 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Riley Greene has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+13.15 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Gio Urshela has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+12.60 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Matt Vierling has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+11.95 Units / 56% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Steven Kwan has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 16 games (+37.00 Units / 231% ROI)
  • Jose Ramirez has hit the Runs Over in 32 of his last 44 games (+19.65 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Jose Ramirez has hit the RBIs Over in 26 of his last 43 games (+15.45 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 18 games (+13.30 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Andres Gimenez has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 18 games (+11.40 Units / 55% ROI)

  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 49 of their last 84 games (+13.40 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 14 games (+13.20 Units / 67% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games (+9.35 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 19 games (+9.00 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.30 Units / 35% ROI)

  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 40 games at home (+12.70 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+10.85 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 57 of their last 99 games (+10.30 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 41 games at home (+8.70 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 40 games at home (+7.45 Units / 16% ROI)

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 51-50 against the Run Line (-3.95 Units / -2.89% ROI).

  • 50-51 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.8 Units / -3.27% ROI
  • 54-40 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.5 Units / 8.8% ROI
  • 40-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -19.6 Units / -18.19% ROI

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 49-50 against the Run Line (+2 Units / 1.66% ROI).

  • 59-40 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.67 Units / 9.01% ROI
  • 48-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.75 Units / -1.6% ROI
  • 45-48 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.65 Units / -7.06% ROI

Guardians vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jose Ramirez (CLE) 0.5 +500 0.5 -700
Riley Greene (DET) 0.5 +525 0.5 -750
Jhonkensy Noel (CLE) 0.5 +550 0.5 -800
Matt Vierling (DET) 0.5 +550 0.5 -800
Carson Kelly (DET) 0.5 +625 0.5 -1000

Guardians vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Gio Urshela (DET) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Riley Greene (DET) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Matt Vierling (DET) 0.5 -250 0.5 +195
Jose Ramirez (CLE) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Wenceel Perez (DET) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190

Guardians vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jose Ramirez (CLE) 0.5 +155 0.5 -210
Riley Greene (DET) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Matt Vierling (DET) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Josh Naylor (CLE) 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Zach McKinstry (DET) 0.5 +185 0.5 -250

Guardians vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Carlos Carrasco (CLE) 3.5 -160 3.5 +125
Tarik Skubal (DET) 6.5 +125 6.5 -160

Opponents are hitting .227 (34-for-150) against Beau Brieske with two-strikes since last season — 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .158 — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .227 (34-for-150) against Beau Brieske with two-strikes since last season — highest among AL Relievers; League Avg: .162 — first Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting .500 (11-for-22) against Beau Brieske this month (7 games) — highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .242 — 0 Percentile.

Beau Brieske has a strikeout rate of 44% (19 SO in 43 PAs) in PAs ending on fastballs away since last season — 5th best among AL Relievers; League Avg: 29% — 94th Percentile.

Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Xzavion Curry has a strikeout rate of just 34% (79 SO in 230 PAs) with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 45% — second Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 27% (54/203) against Xzavion Curry since last season — 3rd lowest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 44% — third Percentile.

Xzavion Curry has a strikeout rate of just 17% (79 SO in 478 PAs) since last season — 2nd lowest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 25% — second Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting .290 (73-for-252) against Xzavion Curry since the 2022 season — 6th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .230 — fourth Percentile.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

  
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