The Detroit Tigers (-120) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (+100) on Monday, July 22, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Cleveland, OH.

This season, the Tigers are 49-51 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 49-49 ATS.

Tigers vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:

• Tigers starting pitcher: Tarik Skubal 10-3, 2.41 ERA
• Guardians starting pitcher: Carlos Carrasco 3-7, 5.05 ERA

Tigers vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Tigers vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Monday‘s MLB game with 54.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:

• Matt Vierling has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 26 games (+22.00 Units / 85% ROI)
• Matt Vierling has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+14.45 Units / 41% ROI)
• Riley Greene has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+13.15 Units / 41% ROI)
• Gio Urshela has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+12.60 Units / 34% ROI)
• Matt Vierling has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+11.95 Units / 56% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Steven Kwan has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 16 games (+37.00 Units / 231% ROI)
• Jose Ramirez has hit the Runs Over in 32 of his last 44 games (+19.65 Units / 40% ROI)
• Jose Ramirez has hit the RBIs Over in 26 of his last 43 games (+15.45 Units / 35% ROI)
• Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 18 games (+13.30 Units / 50% ROI)
• Andres Gimenez has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 18 games (+11.40 Units / 55% ROI)

Tigers Best Bets Today:

• The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 48 of their last 83 games (+12.40 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 13 games (+11.85 Units / 64% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 15 games (+8.35 Units / 52% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games (+8.00 Units / 38% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.30 Units / 33% ROI)

Guardians Best Bets Today:

• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 39 games at home (+13.70 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 39 games at home (+11.85 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 57 of their last 98 games (+11.40 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 40 games at home (+10.25 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 39 games at home (+8.55 Units / 19% ROI)

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 50-50 against the Run Line (-5.3 Units / -3.9% ROI).

• 49-51 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.8 Units / -4.18% ROI
• 53-40 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.5 Units / 7.95% ROI
• 40-53 when betting on the total runs Under for -18.5 Units / -17.35% ROI

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 49-49 against the Run Line (+3.55 Units / 2.99% ROI).

• 59-39 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.67 Units / 9.86% ROI
• 47-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.75 Units / -2.54% ROI
• 45-47 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.55 Units / -6.11% ROI

Guardians vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Guardians vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Guardians vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today

Guardians vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting just .149 (24-for-161) against Tarik Skubal when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .228 — 98th Percentile.

Tarik Skubal has a strikeout rate of 48% (13 SO in 27 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (3 games) — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 23% (23/102) against Tarik Skubal when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 39% — 100th Percentile.

Tarik Skubal has a strike rate of 71% (380/532) in two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.

Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .395 (70-for-177) against Carlos Carrasco’s inside fastball since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 168 total IP; League Avg: .261 — 0 Percentile.

Carlos Carrasco has allowed a slugging percentage of .751 (133 Total Bases / 177 ABs) on inside fastballs since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 168 total IP; League Avg: .430 — 0 Percentile.

Carlos Carrasco has allowed a slugging percentage of .760 (38 Total Bases / 50 ABs) on inside fastballs this season — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: .415 — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .310 (88-for-284) against Carlos Carrasco when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 103 total IP; League Avg: .247 — first Percentile.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

  
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