The Detroit Tigers (+180) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-225) on Wednesday, August 17, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Cleveland.
The Guardians are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).
The Tigers vs Guardians Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Tigers are 45-74 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 62-55 ATS.
Tigers vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Tigers vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 55.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Guardians and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Guardians vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Amed Rosario | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Andres Gimenez | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Jose Ramirez | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -650 |
| Luke Maile | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Myles Straw | 0.5 +1200 | 0.5 |
Guardians vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Amed Rosario | 1.5 +150 | 1.5 -225 |
| Andres Gimenez | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +170 |
| Jose Ramirez | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +170 |
| Luke Maile | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +110 |
| Myles Straw | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
Guardians vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Amed Rosario | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -185 |
| Andres Gimenez | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jose Ramirez | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -150 |
| Luke Maile | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
| Myles Straw | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
Guardians vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Quantrill | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -155 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Tigers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Positive Betting Trends for the Guardians: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 53-66 against the Run Line (-22.55 Units / -15.13% ROI).
- 45-74 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.85 Units / -11.02% ROI
- 41-67 when betting on the total runs Over for -31.9 Units / -24.39% ROI
- 67-41 when betting on the total runs Under for +22.4 Units / 17.01% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 62-55 against the Run Line (+1.9 Units / 1.28% ROI).
- 62-55 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.05 Units / 5.57% ROI
- 54-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.5 Units / -5.04% ROI
- 55-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.25 Units / -3.3% ROI
Daniel Norris: Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Daniel Norris has walked 23 of 153 batters (15%) this season — 7th highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 9% — third Percentile.
Daniel Norris has allowed an OPS of .877 (245 PA’s) against right-handed batters since the start of last season — 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .677 — second Percentile.
Daniel Norris has walked 53 of 401 batters (13%) since the start of last season — tied for 10th highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 9% — sixth Percentile.
Daniel Norris has a strike rate of just 60% (982/1,633) since the start of last season — tied for 5th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — third Percentile.
Cal Quantrill: Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 15% (88/577) against Cal Quantrill this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (30/167) against Cal Quantrill on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — eighth Percentile.
11 of Cal Quantrill’s 39 breaking pitch strikeouts (28%) have been backdoor this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 12% — 95th Percentile.
Cal Quantrill has a strike rate of just 60% (369/610) in two strike counts this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — third Percentile.